model,reported_brier_score,test_matches,test_period,data_type,source_url Bradley–Terry,0.219,12052,early 2022-October 2025,published_aggregate,https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20454v2 Standard Elo,0.217,12052,early 2022-October 2025,published_aggregate,https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20454v2 Graph model,0.214,12052,early 2022-October 2025,published_aggregate,https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20454v2 Weighted Elo,0.214,12052,early 2022-October 2025,published_aggregate,https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20454v2 Pinnacle benchmark,0.198,12052,early 2022-October 2025,published_aggregate,https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20454v2