Shevchenko vs Alcaraz Betting Tips – ATP Madrid R2 Prediction

Shevchenko vs Alcaraz Prediction

Multiple former champion Carlos Alcaraz faces a potentially challenging second round encounter. He will face world number 59 Alexander Shevchenko in the second round of the Madrid Open. Bookmakers think this will be a formality given the odds but could the underdog offer value for the shrewd punter?

The Tennis Tips UK team will answer this question and provide more useful insight with these Shevchenko vs Alcaraz betting tips. Looking for more ATP tennis insight? Here is the full resource centre.

The Favourite – Alcaraz ML

The probability of the Spaniard world number three winning this match is around 95%. So far, so good. However then problem is bookmakers are acutely aware of this and are offering odds of just 1.05-1.08 on average.

So although this bet will win the majority of the time – trying to profit long term is virtually impossible as the single freak loss outcome will do so much damage. For that reason Alcaraz ML is best avoided.

The Smart Money – Asian Handicap

Sharp bookmakers show significant backing for Shevchenko in the Asian games handicap market. Specifically the +5.5 offering has seen backing from around 2.60 down to 2.20 as of publication. It’s also worth considering the positive set handicap to reduce volatility (versus the straight up underdog money line)

The Longshot – Shevchenko ML

Backing large price match winner markets indiscriminatingly has historically yielded awful results. These markets often the highest bookmaker margins and so without informed selection are worth avoiding. Fortunately if you like the chances of the underdog there are smarter options like the aforementioned handicap betting markets.

FAQ: ATP Madrid Open Betting