ATP Tennis Betting Preview – 21/02/2024
Table of Contents
- ATP Rio de Janeiro Tips – Wednesday 21/02/2024
- ATP Doha Tips – Wednesday 21/02/2024
- ATP Los Cabos – Wednesday 21/02/2024
Looking for the ultimate breakdown of ATP matches scheduled on Wednesday 21 February 2024? Well, your in luck. With action from ATP Rio de Janeiro, ATP Los Cabos and the ATP Qatar Open there are a plethora of tennis betting options. However as always the number of potentially profitable markets is significantly more finite. In this article you can expect insight for the main matches that intrigued our analysts and hints as to where the best betting opportunities may lie. An archive history is available showing all previous daily previews published.
Interested in accessing our very best tennis bets for ATP, Grand Slam & Challenger events? Find out more about our Private Mailing List that has delivered a Return in Investment (ROI) in excess of 100% so far. You just need an email address and bookmaker account to replicate quoted profits – exchanges can also be used if there is sufficient liquidity.
ATP Rio de Janeiro Tips – Wednesday 21/02/2024
Barrios Vera vs Norrie – Defending champion to progress?
Cameron Norrie has a 80.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our internal statistical modelling. This is an approach similar to how bookmaker traders collate odds but with a differing view on the significance of certain factors.
This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.25 or above. As of publication there are multiple bookmakers and exchanges offering prices above this level so there is marginal value present.
On the other hand if wanting to back underdog Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera odds in excess of 5.00 would be required for an expected positive yield. Currently odds available (on average) make up approximately 95% of this level so best avoided. However if there is a significant price drift it could become appealing.
ATP Doha Tips – Wednesday 21/02/2024
Fucsovics vs Bublik – Fireworks Guaranteed
Marton Fucsovics has a 58.80% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our calculations.
This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.71 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average is over 15% above this level so value could be present.
On the other hand if wanting to back his ever entertaining opponent Alexander Bublik odds in excess of 2.50 would be required for an expected positive yield. Currently odds available are well below this level so best avoided if seeking + Positive EV (Expected Value) markets.
ATP Los Cabos – Wednesday 21/02/2024
Kokkinakis vs Evans – Could the erratic Aussie offer value?
Thanasi Kokkinakis has a 55.30% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our calculations.
This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.79 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average is over 12% above this level so value could be present. Remember there are many factors that affect the outcome of a single match (some of which are hard to quantify in advance). However value when backed over a large sample size will always deliver profit. That’s why bankroll management is so important and worth exploring the novice punter before placing any real money bets.
Conversely if wanting to back his opponent Daniel Evans odds in excess of 2.25 would be required for an expected positive yield. Current odds for the Englishman are closer to EVENS so aren’t appealing as of publication.
Private Mailing List – Service Details
After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.
Due to popular demand we now track and verify all advised bets sent to subscribers via an external public platform. This documents the exact bets recommended and results in granular detail broken down into profit, yield and ROI.
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ATP Tennis Betting Preview – 21/02/2024 – FAQ
Generally we promote the use of exchanges to avoid bookmaker limits and restrictions once you become profitable over the long term. However the main feed of sharp prices which we use to evaluate value comes from this bookmaker as they welcome winners.
Always focus on value. Don’t let emotion creep into your betting. Let’s take an example. If you back a player priced at 3.00 but their probability of winning was 50% then that is a great margin of value. However it’s still a coin flip as to whether they win or lose. ‘Good bets lose and bad bets win’ – remember that phrase. Focus long term and celebrate getting value not winning or losing individual bets. If you achieve the former profit is inevitable over a large data set (i.e 100+ bets placed)
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