Alcaraz vs Djokovic Betting Pick – Wimbledon Final Prediction for Sunday 14th July 2024

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Tennis Tips UK advise multiple bets per week. One of these selections is made available to everyone free of charge and the others are reserved for club subscribers only. This selection for Alcaraz vs Djokovic in the Wimbledon final is free for everyone to access. Enter your email in the field below to receive all future free selections direct to your inbox like this Alcaraz vs Djokovic betting pick.

This final will give a sense of déjà vu to keen tennis fans as last years final featured the same two players. From a betting perspective an educated Alcaraz vs Djokovic pick is often derived from more recent form and surface attainment rather than looking at long term head to head records – so it’s more of a curiosity than a useful input to our data modelling.

Both Alcaraz and Djokovic has endured erratic 2024 seasons by their own (admittedly high) standards. The Serbian in particular has fallen to multiple unexpected defeats culminating in the extreme shock of his loss to Machac in Geneva. However since then his form has returned to a more expected level and his Wimbledon run to this final has been exemplary.

Alcaraz vs Djokovic Betting Pick

Djokovic vs Alcaraz Prediction – 14/07/2024

• Bookmakers think Djokovic has a 43.50% win probability
• This is a repeat of the 2023 Wimbledon final that Alcaraz won in five sets
• Initial money flowing into the market has backed the Spaniard but it will not be until much closer to the scheduled start time that sharp money will enter when limits and liquidity increase.

Free Tennis Tips UK Pick…

Novak Djokovic (Match Winner) @ 2.32 – 1 unit stake

Reasoning: Internal Tennis Tips UK modelling suggests Djokovic has a win probability in excess of 52% which means the quoted price offers a considerable margin of value. Our traders feel too much emphasis has been allocated to the Serbians shock losses this year and that given his record at Wimbledon specifically combined with his performances in the past week – his current market price is unjustified.

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Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.

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