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Profit (units)Yield (%)Strike Rate (%)Average Odds (Decimal)Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick)
+137.0036.2033.805.03£13,700 from backing every selection as of February 2026

Thiem vs Paul Tips – ATP Vienna Prediction

25/10/2022 – The Austrian Dominic Thiem has challenged and beaten legends of the game over the years but recently its been far from plain sailing for the clay court specialist. A spat of persistent injury issues have led to a significant ranking deterioration and incredible losing streak that lasted for over a year. Lets take a deep dive into the probability with our Thiem vs Paul Tips at the 2022 Erste Bank Open.

Recommended Read (10 Minutes) – Betting Exchanges: Why do Bookmakers still dominate the market?

Tommy Paul has been fortunate enough to avoid these lows but equally has never reached the heights of his opponent either even at the best of times. His record on this surface (indoor hard court) is respectable. The faster speed should favour him over Thiem although youngster Alcaraz claimed it was much slower than expected following his first round win over at the Swiss Indoors. This follows a recent trends of players stating that the once famously fast indoor courts and now playing differently.

Thiem vs Paul Match Preview | Key Takeaways

  • This match essentially boils down to what level Thiem is currently at. Clearly he would dominate Paul at his best but despite a recent uptrend in performances he’s clearly not there yet.
  • Sharp punters (i.e those at Pinnacle) have backed the Austrian in from an average of 1.80 to 1.60 which is a significant movement. This is typically a strong indicator for match outcome although shortening prices often go too far as everyone and their dog piles on leading to opportunities on the other side of the line.
Thiem vs Paul Tips - Odds Snapshot

D Thiem vs T Paul Odds – Snapshot of betting activity across multiple bookmakers. The price at Pinnacle has shortened by approximately 10% versus the opening price. Could this suggest value?

MatchSelectionStake
Thiem vs Paul Tips (ATP Vienna)🔐 LOCKED >10 units
Odds correct as of publication (Tuesday 25/10/2022)

Synopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.

Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.

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How much profit have the picks made overall?


As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.

Tennis tips uk betting profit chart

How do you profit from tennis betting?

There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.

I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?

Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.

What about responsible gambling?

All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.

Why join the club?

It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.


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