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| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +101.30 | 32.00 | 34.80 | 4.66 | £10,130 from backing every selection as of October 2025 |
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A Murray vs M Berrettini Prediction – Match Preview
Table of Contents
| When? | Monday, 16 Jan 2023, 00:00 |
| Where? | Melbourne Park, Australian Open 2023 (Court confirmed the day prior to play) |
| Most Likely Outcome? | M Berrettini to win – 73.5% probability based on sharp bookmaker prices. |
| Prediction: | A Murray still has the fighting spirit and resilience that has been the hallmark of his illustrious career. However over a potential five sets, his younger opponent is likely to have the physical edge |
| Potential Value Bets: | Prices above 4.00 for A Murray / Prices above 1.40 for M Berrettini |
| Where’s the Money? | Decent support for A Murray illustrated by shortening odds at most bookmakers and exchanges. Average opening was around 3.90-4.00 now down to approximately 3.50 |
Match Snapshot – 30 Second Read
If Murray is going to keep his (admittedly improbable) dream of adding another grand slam to his trophy cabinet alive – he’s going to have to defy odds from the off with a highly challenging first round opponent in the form of Italian Berretttini whom is currently ranked as the 14th best player in the world. Let’s explore in more detail with the A Murray vs M Berrettini Prediction from Tennis Tips UK.
Head to Head (H2H)
M Berrettini has dominated their previous encounters with 3 wins from 4 matches. This 75% success rate was most recently enhanced by his win in the third round of the 2022 US Open. A Murray last beat him back in 2019 – over 4 years ago. Since their most recent encounter Murray’s overall profile trend has correlated negatively whereas Berrettini has improved significantly over recent years as one would expect for someone in his age range.
Surface, Court Speed & Past Performance
These factors can drastically alter the most probable outcomes. Fines margins apply for most men’s professional tennis and the conditions at a specific event are highly relevant. Both players have a good attainment history at the Australian Open – however it’s worth highlighting that Murray’s achievements came during the prime period of his career many years ago now.
Andy Murray has reached the final 5 times in Melbourne but never won the slam.
Source: Andy Murray – Wikipedia
The heat will only further the importance of endurance and it’s difficult to conclude anything other than this favours Berrettini significantly given his younger age and the injury issues suffered by Murray.
Outdoor hard courts play relatively fast which favours the big servers. The expected high temperatures further increase this. Whilst both players possess power Murray is defence driven which will further increase this R1 challenge and goes a long way to explaining his large price in terms of odds.
Takeaway – Conclusions
It’s difficult to see past M Berrettini for this one. Murray has been plagued by injury issues and there are just a few too many factors (as previously highlighted) in favour of the Italian to overlook even when such an appealing price is available for the multiple grand slam champion.
TENNIS TIPS UK MEMBERSHIP – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive daily betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a daily ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found for that day. This is exclusively available through the full access plan.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks six hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Betfair Exchange, Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner or set betting / handicap are the market types used.How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £7000 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
