Zverev bounced back from a marathon second round encounter with a routine win versus American rising star Michelsen on Saturday. He faces a much tougher opponent (at least on paper) as we progress through to the R16 on this year’s iteration of the Australian Open. Zverev vs Norrie is currently scheduled for Monday, 22 Jan 2024, 00:00 according to the official draw page. This is subject to change based on the duration of the previous matches. In this deep dive Zverev vs Norrie betting guide we’ll take a look at all the main options available for both the adventurous and conversative punter. There is also an extensive Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) section for bettors considering this match specifically. The Tennis Tips UK analysts will also conclude where they think the best betting opportunities lie for this encounter.
Match Winner – Zverev vs Norrie
The primary market that will inevitably attract the highest volume of betting activity is the match winner market also known as the moneyline in some cases. There is a clear a favourite but an underdog victory is far from impossible. Take a look at the infographic below, created by the Tennis Tips UK team.
Based on data from sharp bookmakers and exchanges offering Zverev to win priced in within the 1.25-1.30 range and adjusting to factor in the bookmaker edge. Data correct as of publication and subject to change.
The potential return (in this case from $100 wager) is weak for Zverev but far more appealing for his opponent Norrie. Even risk adjusted it’s still the Brit who is more appealing for the match winner market.
Zverev vs Norrie Betting Guide – Punter FAQ
Will Zverev beat Norrie?
As calculated previously; 75% is the estimated probability of this outcome. Whilst that may sound appealing initially the available odds correlate with this at just 1.30 on average as of publication (odds subject to change). In other words there is limited, if any, value backing Zverev long term.
Can Norrie win despite his odds?
Historically players priced in a similar range to Norrie have actually performed well. This is derived from a large data set and the selection in isolation remains very high volatility. Still given the choice we much prefer the risk to reward ratio offered by Norrie versus his opponent Zverev.
Any insight for the Over/Under Total Games Market?
The over +37.5 total games line is currently where bookmakers think the probability lies at roughly 50/50. This could present value at a price close to EVENS (2.00).
So that concludes our Zverev vs Norrie betting guide. To give a quick synopsis of my main takeaways – as with most grand slam matches the probability and odds available line by efficiently so there is limited value. The price for Brit Norrie has settled in the 3.50-3.80 range which is appealing for a modest stake. If you would like to get a more detailed insight into what we have learnt about tennis betting since our portal was founded in 2013 try our FAQ: Is Tennis Betting Profitable?
Robert, Tennis Tips UK Analyst – Ask me a question (I’ll respond within 24 hours)
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On average there will be 2-3 bets advised per week. This will be either a match winner, asian handicap or over/under total games market that’s accessible via all major bookmakers.
The selections are picked by tipsters (many private individuals who have never offered a public service) that we have discovered and verified since our portal was founded back in 2013. All prediction providers have delivered a sustained ROI in excess of 10%.
We use a simple 1% per selection bankroll management system. The odds quoted are available at multiple bookmakers and exchanges so it’s practical to replicate returns. All advisory is published at least 24 hours before the scheduled start time.
Synopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?
Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.
How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?
Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?
All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Why join the club?
It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.
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