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Nakashima v Zverev Tips | US Open R16 Betting Pick for Sunday

Tennis Tips UK advise bets frequently when the primary ATP tour is active. The majority are reserved for club subscribers only. However the final selection each week is published free for everyone via this blog section and across the official social channels. Just enter your email below if you wish to receive free selections direct to your inbox in future. There is an option to unsubscribe at any time.

The focus for Sunday is the US open R16 encounter Nakashima v Zverev. Who will prevail and make it to the next stage? The main story this week at flushing meadows has been the major upsets but do we think that will be the case again with our Nakashima v Zverev tips?

Nakashima v Zverev Tips for Sun 01 Sep

Odds available as of publication that are quoted in our Nakashima v Zverev tips for the US Open R16 encounter. These are bound to change so our team include ‘minimum value level’ to indicate if the bet is still recommended should the price shorten or drift.

Will Nakashima pull off the upset against the more reliable Zverev?

The most likely outcome is a win for the German Zverev but in terms of where value lies that’s a very different question. It’s the thesis of Tennis Tips UK analysts that Nakashima should be priced closer to 2.75 indicating a win probability of around 36%. Any odds obtainable above this level will offer value and are worth backing.

Zverev is a big server and solid from the baseline. On paper he should progress in this encounter but his opponent Nakashima is likely to present a stubborn challenge. US hard courts are where he’s mainly progressed through the rankings so far in career including a home town title.

Our prediction for this match is a tight encounter where the American challenges more than the market pricing might suggest. Whether he will edge the encounter overall is certainly dubious but worth backing at the value level (2.75+) or above.

When backing underdogs we often receive messages such as ‘it’s obvious Zverev will win!’ and then when he does further criticism of the advisory. When picks like as suggested it’s not that we think the most likely outcome isn’t a win for the favourite it’s simply a case of seeking value.

In this case we all know the most likely winner is Zverev. The odds suggest the probability of this is around 77%. We think this should be lower than consequently there is value in the opposing market. This value based approach allows profit over the long term through tennis betting markets.

Zverev vs Nakashima Free Tips…

B Nakashima (Match Winner) @ 3.60 – 1 unit stake

Reasoning: Internal modelling indicates Nakashima win probability in excess of 36.40% meaning there is a significant margin of value in the quoted price even after commission deduction.

TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works

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Synopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.

Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.

How much profit have the picks made overall?

As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.

How do you profit from tennis betting?

There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.

I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?

Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.

What about responsible gambling?

All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.

Why join the club?

It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.