Tennis Tips UK · Research & reports
Tennis Betting Tips for Saturday 16th March – 16/03/2024
Published March 15, 2024
Tennis Betting Tips for Saturday 16th March
The business end of the Indian Wells Open has arrived and the usual suspects remain in contention. Alcaraz leads the field (despite the best efforts of the local wildlife). However he will need to break a 19 match win streak of his opponent Sinner if he is to emerge victorious. He’s currently priced at around 2.15-2.25 to achieve this feat implying a probability of approximately 46.20%.
So let’s focus our attention on the aforementioned tournament with our tennis betting tips for Saturday 16th March 2024. There are other encounters also potentially offering intrigue for the shrewd punter. As always this article contains a free prediction and a method to access our ‘Bet of the Day‘ which is a paid subscription service offering our best performing selections with verified results.
ATP Indian Wells – 16/03/2024
Sinner vs Alcaraz (FREE)
Carlos Alcaraz has a 46.20% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on sharp bookmaker odds (correct as of publication and subject to change)
This calculation is derived from odds within the 2.15-2.25 range for the match winner market (AKA two way money line)
FREE PICK: Jannik Sinner -1.5 (Set Handicap) @ 2.60+
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Paul vs Medvedev (LOCKED)
The highest value market found by our analysts today is from the ATP Indian Wells semifinal between Medvedev and Paul.
There is a clear discrepancy between the implied probability (derived from sharp bookmaker odds once limits are raised) and the true outcome probability.
That’s why this selection has been graded as the ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD) and is available to subscribers only.
| Profit (units) | Return on Investment (%) | Strike Rate (%) |
| +8.60 | 124.50 | 42.90 |
Tennis Tips UK – FAQ
The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this article covering Sinner vs Alcaraz and Paul vs Medvedev. We offer a subscription service which tracks all it’s results publicly.
For most days there will be a free selection available to everyone. This offers value at the quoted price and is expected to deliver profit long term. However the market that offers the highest margin of value is graded as the ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD). This requires a subscription to access.
The main ingredient to turn from a recreational punter to a successful bettor is discipline. It’s essential to adopt an investment style approach. Risk a small percentage of total bankroll per match and focus on getting bets placed/matched at a value price.
Have a brief look at the graphic references below. It illustrates the point that over a small number of bets luck is the key even with value bets (due to variance). However if you stay consistent long term and keep backing bets methodically the chances of losing collapse to near zero. It’s a virtual certainty you’ll be in profit as the odds work in your favour.
Never back a single pick NEEDING it to win. Of course you will WANT it to win but these are two very different things. Risk a small amount per match as anything can happen over a few sets. Have faith that value bets will deliver long term and manage bankroll responsibly. 
See the wider picture.
Read the research alongside the complete results record. See every win and loss and how our proprietary data model and human review select picks.
To interpret prices alongside outcomes, read our research on closing line value. It explains what a market benchmark can show and where it can mislead.
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