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Free Pick P/L Report for Friday

C Ruud (Odds: 2.10) #FrenchOpen

-$1000 and failed to beat closing odds

Email Subscription URL: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/tag/tennis-betting-tips/

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Free Pick for French Open SF

C Ruud vs A Zverev
C Ruud (Match Winner)
2.10 @ Betfair Exchange
Friday 7th June 2024

In an average week; Tennis Tips UK advise two bets. One of these selections made available to everyone free of charge and the other for club subscribers only.

Club P/L Report: Wed 06 June

C Ruud (Odds: 2.32) #FrenchOpen

Void as Djokovic withdrew before match

Full results: https://betdiary.io/tipster/dashboard/10027/tennistipsuk/ (+14.6% yield)

Email Subscription URL: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/join/

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Club P/L Report: Mon 03 June

F Cerundolo (Odds: 8.80) #FrenchOpen

-$1000 but beat sharp closing line

Full results: https://betdiary.io/tipster/dashboard/10027/tennistipsuk/ (+14.6% yield)

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Club P/L Report: Sat 01 June

L Musetti (Odds: 7.00) #FrenchOpen

-$1000 but beat sharp closing line

Full results: http://tennis-tips.co.uk

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Club P/L Report: Fri 31 May

M Arnaldi (Odds: 5.20) #FrenchOpen

+ $4990 but failed to beat closing line

Full results: http://tennis-tips.co.uk

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Kotov vs Sinner Prediction: Argument for backing both players ahead of their third round French Open encounter on Friday.

Club P/L Report: Sunday 26 May

S Mochizuki (Odds: 15.09) #FrenchOpen

-1.00 unit and failed to beat closing line

Full results: http://tennis-tips.co.uk

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Club P/L Report: Friday 24 May

M Kukushkin (Odds: 2.05) #FrenchOpen

+1.05 units but failed to beat closing line

Full results: http://betdiary.io/tipster/bets/1…

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Club P/L Report: Wednesday 22 May

T Griekspoor (Odds: 2.01) #ATPGeneva

+1.01 units and beat sharp closing line

Full results: https://betdiary.io/tipster/bets/10027/tennistipsuk/

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Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » Djokovic vs Sinner Pick – Tennis Betting Preview – Australian Open Semi-Final 2024

Data Driven Insight – Djokovic vs Sinner Pick | Friday 26 Jan 2024, 03:30

Table of Contents

This match is a fascinating prospect for tennis fans around the world. Italian Jannik Sinner has definitely impressed the most so far at the 2024 iteration of the Australian Open. He’s dominated all challengers so far although clearly this will be his biggest challenge as the world number one stands in his way of a Grand Slam final. Early indications is that there is significant backing for Sinner with 70% of predictions backing him on certain portals as of publication. Discounting possibly the finest every player would be brave (and foolish) in equal measure and bookmakers have priced Djokovic as a favourite but not by the usual margin for his matches which is a reflection of the sublime form and attainment of his opponent.

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The Argument for… Djokovic – The Power of History

His record speaks for itself – there is no other player who has illustrated such consistency over a period of time as considerable as Djokovic. The important factor here is that he frequently finds a path to victory even when the stars fail to align. His mental resolve is well documented and has been the deciding factor in many brutal five set grand slam encounters over his illustrious career.

djokovic record at Australian Open graphic by Tennis Tips UK

Novak Djokovic has a stellar record at the Australian Open. In fact he won the event outright consecutively for many years now (excluding the year he didn’t compete)

So surely it’s just a formality he will beat Jannik Sinner? Well, not so quick with that conclusion. It’s easy to put too much emphasise on long term statistics. Recent form metrics are far more relevant to predicting a match outcome. This is strong for both Djokovic and Sinner.


2-3 bets per week with a historical yield in excess of 36.50% – View Full History

The Argument for… Sinner – Stellar Form Metrics

Jannik Sinner has breezed through the Australian Open draw so far despite facing some high quality opponents. He hasn’t dropped a set in five matches and has low total court time as a consequence. This can be a factor worth considering in the later stages of a Grand Slam as physicality and fatigue can play a crucial role. He has a 7-0 record so in 2024 so if Novak Djokovic does win it will be his first defeat.

Sinner infographic showing percentage chance of beating Djokovic calculated from odds by Tennis Tips UK

The match winner odds available (2.50-3.00) as of publication suggest the chance of Jannik Sinner progressing to the Australian Open 2024 final is roughly 35% which means the Novak Djokovic win is more likely by a modest margin.

The question is though what is the true probability. The Pinnacle closing line will almost certainly get this correct but there is a lot of movement probable from now until then.

Our Main Pick – Reserved for Premium Subscribers

Subscribe to get access to the Djokovic vs Sinner Pick

Get access to this tip and other premium selections when you subscribe today. You’ll be able to access all selections via this page and also through an email notification. The focus here is purely on value. There is a price (odds) at which every selection offers value based on what it suggests versus true outcome probability. When this value point is below current bookmaker odds we advise this to members.

  • On average there will be 2-3 bets advised per week. This will be either a match winner, asian handicap or over/under total games market that’s accessible via all major bookmakers.

  • The selections are picked by tipsters (many private individuals who have never offered a public service) that we have discovered and verified since our portal was founded back in 2013. All prediction providers have delivered a sustained ROI in excess of 10%. Following multiple requests we have started to publicly track results via a spreadsheet that everyone can view. This started in January 2024 and will continue for the foreseeable future to increase transparency.

  • We use a simple 1% per selection bankroll management system. The odds quoted are available at multiple bookmakers and exchanges so it’s practical to replicate returns. All advisory is published at least 24 hours before the scheduled start time.

Djokovic vs Sinner Pick – Tennis Betting FAQ

Will Djokovic beat Sinner?

As calculated previously; 65% is the estimated probability of a win for the Serbian.

Can Sinner win despite his odds?

The price range of the Italian (2.50-3.00) has performed well over large data sets. It’s a price that bookmakers set when they expect a player to have genuine chance of winning but they expect lots of money on the favourite because they are a ‘big name’ player and recognisable to recreational sports bettors who perhaps don’t normally bet on tennis but make an exception for Grand Slam events.

What is your main Zverev vs Alcaraz pick?

Tennis Tips UK reserve their best value selections for premium subscribers – this is where our analysts go from general speculation about form and past attainment and instead focus on data modelling, probability and the point at which odds present value. This is how to profit long term from tennis betting. The verified results for this paid service illustrate this in practice.

So that concludes our preview of the Australian Open 2024 semi-final featuring world number one Novak Djokovic and the in-form young star Jannik Sinner. As always we remind those wanting to take tennis betting seriously to focus on data, analysis and the minimum odds at which a selection presents value. Don’t put too much weight on statistics and match facts – that’s just for fun

Robert, Tennis Tips UK Analyst – Ask me a question (I’ll respond within 24 hours)


Subscription service for tennis bettors to receive advisory direct to their inbox. This specifies the match, which bet and the recommended stake. Following these recommended picks has yielded a return in excess of 10% as of early 2024.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently.

How much profit have the picks made overall?

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.

How can I get access?

Club membership is currently open through a 7 Day Trial. This can be cancelled at any time. Subscribers can expect to receive 1-2 picks per week via email on average. These will be match winner bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.

Are there any free tips for tennis and other sports?

Tennis Tips UK publish a free selection every week. The remainder are reserved for club members only. There is an option to subscribe so that this free insight gets delivery straight to your inbox (just open any individual pick and enter your email in the provided form)

If you like to place frequent bets then you can benefit from free daily tips via email, website and app over on the BettingGods.com tipster site. They cover sports including football/soccer and horse racing. Remember to have a look at the long term history first.