Tennis Tips UK · Research & reports
Kecmanovic vs Shang Free Tips – ATP Miami R1 Prediction
Published March 19, 2024
Kecmanovic vs Shang Free Tips – Miami Open
The Miami Open draw was recently finalised and bookmakers were quick to release odds. As always this article contains a free prediction and the match of focus for the ‘Bet of the Day‘ which is a paid subscription service offering the best performing selections with verified results.
The main focus today is on Kecmanovic vs Shang as a glance at the odds indicates there could be value afoot. Let’s take a deeper dive to validate this.
ATP Miami Prediction – 20/03/2024
Kecmanovic vs Shang (FREE PICK)
Juncheng Shang looks appealing give the fact internal Tennis Tips UK modelling suggests he has a roughly 52% of winning this R1 Miami Open encounter.
Projected fair odds based on this thesis price him at just 1.90-1.95 so a value margin around 20% which certainly isn’t to be sniffed at.
FREE PICK: Juncheng Shang @ 2.38 (Pinnacle)
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Bet of the Day (LOCKED)
The highest value market found by our analysts today is from the Miami Open first round draw.
There is a clear discrepancy between the implied probability (derived from sharp bookmaker odds once limits are raised) and the true outcome probability.
That’s why this selection has been graded as the ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD) and is available to subscribers only.
| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) |
| +5.60 | 14.70 | 39.50 |
Tennis Tips UK – FAQ
The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but today there is a single subscription service for the best value bets. The team also publish some analysis for free like this article covering Sinner vs Alcaraz and Paul vs Medvedev. Tennis Tips UK offer a subscription service which tracks all it’s results publicly.
For most days there will be a free selection available to everyone. This offers value at the quoted price and is expected to deliver profit long term. However the market that offers the highest margin of value is graded as the ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD). This requires a subscription to access.
The main ingredient to turn from a recreational punter to a successful bettor is discipline. It’s essential to adopt an investment style approach. Risk a small percentage of total bankroll per match and focus on getting bets placed/matched at a value price.
Have a brief look at the graphic references below. It illustrates the point that over a small number of bets luck is the key even with value bets (due to variance). However if you stay consistent long term and keep backing bets methodically the chances of losing collapse to near zero. It’s a virtual certainty you’ll be in profit as the odds work in your favour.
Never back a single pick NEEDING it to win. Of course you will WANT it to win but these are two very different things. Risk a small amount per match as anything can happen over a few sets. Have faith that value bets will deliver long term and manage bankroll responsibly. 
See the wider picture.
Read the research alongside the complete results record. See every win and loss and how our proprietary data model and human review select picks.
To interpret prices alongside outcomes, read our research on closing line value. It explains what a market benchmark can show and where it can mislead.
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