- ✅ WON @ 9.20 (+820) – A Bublik (beat J Sinner) – Thu 19 Jan 2025 – Club P/L Report
- ✅ WON @ 2.34 – Z Bergs – ATP Hertongenbosch – Club P/L Report for Saturday 14th June 2025
- ✅ WON @ 2.52 – C Moutet (ATP Rome) – Club P/L Report – Tennis Betting Tips for Friday 9th May 2025
- ✅ WON @ 2.96 – G Diallo – ATP Madrid R16 – Club P/L Report – Tennis Betting Tips for Wednesday 30th April 2025
- ✅ WON @ 2.08 – G Diallo – ATP Madrid R32 – Club P/L Report – Tennis Betting Tips for Tuesday 29th April 2025
- ✅ WON @ 3.30 – J Fearnley – ATP Madrid R2 – Club P/L Report – Tennis Betting Tips for Saturday 26th April 2025
Shevchenko vs Alcaraz Prediction
Multiple former champion Carlos Alcaraz faces a potentially challenging second round encounter. He will face world number 59 Alexander Shevchenko in the second round of the Madrid Open. Bookmakers think this will be a formality given the odds but could the underdog offer value for the shrewd punter?
The Tennis Tips UK team will answer this question and provide more useful insight with these Shevchenko vs Alcaraz betting tips. Looking for more ATP tennis insight? Here is the full resource centre.
Table of Contents
Tennis Tips UK frequently gather feedback on tipster services from our thousands of subscribers. To be honest most of it focuses on the ever growing list of services to avoid but occasionally there is one that stands out for the right reasons. See the button below for the service that has gained the most positive praise recently.
The Favourite – Alcaraz ML
The probability of the Spaniard world number three winning this match is around 95%. So far, so good. However then problem is bookmakers are acutely aware of this and are offering odds of just 1.05-1.08 on average.
So although this bet will win the majority of the time – trying to profit long term is virtually impossible as the single freak loss outcome will do so much damage. For that reason Alcaraz ML is best avoided.
The Smart Money – Asian Handicap
Sharp bookmakers show significant backing for Shevchenko in the Asian games handicap market. Specifically the +5.5 offering has seen backing from around 2.60 down to 2.20 as of publication. It’s also worth considering the positive set handicap to reduce volatility (versus the straight up underdog money line)
The Longshot – Shevchenko ML
Backing large price match winner markets indiscriminatingly has historically yielded awful results. These markets often the highest bookmaker margins and so without informed selection are worth avoiding. Fortunately if you like the chances of the underdog there are smarter options like the aforementioned handicap betting markets.
FAQ: ATP Madrid Open Betting
The most probable outcome by far is a win or the Spaniard. Most likely in straight sets. It’s important to make the distinction between the most likely match result and which betting markets potentially offer value. There needs to be a disconnect between the implied probability derived from odds and the true probability to create a +EV opportunity. See the tennis betting guide for more information.
Club membership gives access to 1-2 predictions per week that are exclusively available via that service. These are the markets that offer the best margin of value based on extensive research and data driven insight.
Full information is available for this service on the join now page.
Tennis Tips UK frequently gather feedback on tipster services from thousands of subscribers. To be honest most of it focuses on the ever growing list of services to avoid but occasionally there are some that stand out for the right reasons like these tipsters.
Yes the team publish free insight on a daily basis. It’s possible to subscribe via the homepage to receive this direct to your email inbox should you wish.
What is the purpose of club membership?
Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.
Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?
Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.
How will it work after joining?
Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.
Is club membership limited?
Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?
We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?
Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?
Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.
How is profit tracked?
For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.
Who picks the bets for club members?
Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.
Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?
We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?
The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.
Discover more from TENNIS TIPS UK
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
