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F Auger-Aliassime vs D Thiem Free Tips for Monday 15 January
An intriguing encounter lurks in the first round of this years Australian Open so let’s dedicate todays free prediction energy in its direction. Dominic Thiem has been on our radar for many years now. Initially still competing in Challenger clay court events in his native Austria I recall a commentator stating ‘this kid hits the ball as hard as anyone on the main tour’. This raw power remains but has somewhat lost its sting since his persistent injury issues over recent years. His opponent, by contrast, has enjoyed a steady rise towards the top of men’s elite tennis and has solid all round form metrics going into this encounter.
Table of Contents
- Free Tips Direct to your inbox (+36.5% ROI)
- F Auger-Aliassime vs D Thiem Free Tips for Monday 15 January
- Conclusion: Which is the best bet?
Match Winner | 2 Way Money Line
Dominic Thiem is priced in the 2.50-2.70 range as of publication. That suggests a win probability of around 36% as our infographic above illustrates. The Canadian Auger-Aliassime is the favourite and given the fact recent attainment is by far the most important metric for tennis betting we would have to concur with this assessment.
Auger-Aliassime vs Dominic Thiem Free Tips: F Auger-Aliassime (Match Winner)
Total Games – Over / Under 38.5
The physicality of Thiem’s game could be his downfall ultimately but he’s certainly capable of winning at least a set and pushing his opponent the distance. For this reason the over total games line for Auger-Aliassime vs Thiem seems appealing at the right price which we suggest should be 1.70 or above.
FREE TIP: Over 38.5 (Total Games)
Total Sets – 3, 4 or 5?
The hypothesis here is similar to total games. The four and five total sets outcomes are respectably priced. Keep the stake modest here though given the high volatility.
FREE TIP: 4 (Total Sets)
Conclusion: Which is the best bet?
If only allowed a single bet we would go with Felix Auger-Aliassime (Match Winner) for this one. It may be tough for his to get through in straight sets and we certainly expect Thiem to challenge but he price offers decent value. Remember to bet responsibly as anything can happen in a single match and volatility is high. The principles of bankroll management are always vital.
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Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.
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