F Auger-Aliassime vs Dominic Thiem Free Tips | Australian Open 2024 Betting Preview – Is the young Canadian likely to dominate against an opponent struggling to replicate early career accolades?
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F Auger-Aliassime vs D Thiem Free Tips for Monday 15 January
An intriguing encounter lurks in the first round of this years Australian Open so let’s dedicate todays free prediction energy in its direction. Dominic Thiem has been on our radar for many years now. Initially still competing in Challenger clay court events in his native Austria I recall a commentator stating ‘this kid hits the ball as hard as anyone on the main tour’. This raw power remains but has somewhat lost its sting since his persistent injury issues over recent years. His opponent, by contrast, has enjoyed a steady rise towards the top of men’s elite tennis and has solid all round form metrics going into this encounter.
Dominic Thiem is priced in the 2.50-2.70 range as of publication. That suggests a win probability of around 36% as our infographic above illustrates. The Canadian Auger-Aliassime is the favourite and given the fact recent attainment is by far the most important metric for tennis betting we would have to concur with this assessment.
Auger-Aliassime vs Dominic Thiem Free Tips: F Auger-Aliassime (Match Winner)
Total Games – Over / Under 38.5
The physicality of Thiem’s game could be his downfall ultimately but he’s certainly capable of winning at least a set and pushing his opponent the distance. For this reason the over total games line for Auger-Aliassime vs Thiem seems appealing at the right price which we suggest should be 1.70 or above.
FREE TIP: Over 38.5 (Total Games)
Total Sets – 3, 4 or 5?
The hypothesis here is similar to total games. The four and five total sets outcomes are respectably priced. Keep the stake modest here though given the high volatility.
FREE TIP: 4 (Total Sets)
Conclusion: Which is the best bet?
If only allowed a single bet we would go with Felix Auger-Aliassime (Match Winner) for this one. It may be tough for his to get through in straight sets and we certainly expect Thiem to challenge but he price offers decent value. Remember to bet responsibly as anything can happen in a single match and volatility is high. The principles of bankroll management are always vital.
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ATP Hamburg R1
A Fils vs J Munar
J Munar (Match Winner)
1 unit @ 2.50 via Betfair Exchange
Full reasoning: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/free-tips/2024/07/15/free-pick-for-tuesday-16th-july-fils-vs-munar-prediction-for-atp-hamburg-r1-betting-tips/
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