Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive a daily email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4130 as of July 2024.

Full access to all picks is reserved to a maximum of 10 club members. There is an option to purchase 1 month membership with no recurring payment or subscription element. Many payment methods are accepted including PayPal. This link will only remain active when places are available so if this is inactive please contact our team instead and request to be added to the waiting list.

Club membership is designed for those looking to profit from tennis markets over the long term. Having access to exchange and bookmakers without account limits is preferable. Bankroll management and discipline are both essential. Please do not consider the club if looking for short term gains and stick to the principles of responsible gambling regardless.

Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » Zverev vs Alcaraz – Who will win this QF matchup? Australian Open 2024 Prediction

Data Driven Insight – Zverev vs Alcaraz Prediction | Wednesday 24 Jan 2024

Table of Contents

Zverev progressed through a marathon encounter against Norrie which our analysts correctly predicted would be a lengthy encounter which the German would most likely edge. This quarterfinal matchup will see him face a much tougher encounter against multiple Grand Slam champion Alcaraz. Let’s explore this encounter in more detail from a tennis betting perspective and conclude with our prediction for this Australian Open QF encounter.

The Argument for… Zverev

Our first reaction to the odds for Zverev was surprise as he is projected to win this matchup in just 20% of cases based on odds in the 5.00 range (which is correct as of publication). The justification for this is more of a reflection of Alcaraz’s rise and surprising consistency given his young age – which we’ll address in detail in the next section – rather than a lack of faith in Zverev’s personal ability.

zverev match win rate in 2024 created by Tennis Tips UK

Zverev has achieved a 8-1 match win rate so far in 2024. This includes his progress so far at the Australian Open and his performances at the United Cup.

A significant part of the justification backing Zverev is the appealing risk to reward ratio. We agree with the thesis that he should be an underdog but the current price in the 4.50-5.00 range is appealing.

PROFITABLE EMAIL INSIGHT

2-3 bets per week with a historical yield in excess of 36.50% – View Full History

The Argument for… Alcaraz

Alcaraz has established himself as possibly the finest player on the tour (excluding world number one Djokovic although he has even registered a Grand Slam win over him too). Despite his young age its the consistency that’s truly remarkable. Yes, we suffered a bump in the road towards the later stages of 2023 but he looks to have returned to his peak based on evidence presented so far this year.

alcaraz sets lost infographic by Tennis Tips UK

Alcaraz has dropped just a single set so far in Melbourne. This is impressive from an attainment perspective but also from a fatigue viewpoint. He has a very low total court time at this event whereas Zverev has had to endure multiple five set encounters. This could have a cumulative impact for the German and give Alcaraz a further advantage.

Zverev vs Alcaraz Prediction – Punter FAQ

Will Zverev beat Alcaraz?

As calculated previously; 20% is the estimated probability of this outcome. So needless to say keep the stake modest if you do choose to back this money line market. The most probable outcome is an Alcaraz win but the odds reflect this leading to little value either way.

Can Zverev win despite his odds?

Historically players priced in a similar range to Zverev have actually performed very poorly with a significant negative ROI. This is derived from a large data set.

What is your main Zverev vs Alcaraz prediction?

Tennis Tips UK reserve their best value selections for premium subscribers but our general consensus is that this match is priced relatively efficiently meaning there is little to find appealing from a tennis betting standpoint. This is true of the match winner market but the alternative betting opportunities could yield far better risk to reward propositions.

So that concludes our Zverev vs Alcaraz Prediction. To give a quick synopsis of my main takeaways – as with most grand slam matches the probability and odds available line by efficiently so there is limited value. The price for Zverev has drifted from an opening level of 4.50 to around 5.00 at sharp bookmakers as of publication. Following the flow of money can be a shrewd move so perhaps Alcaraz is worth looking at particularly with a focus on the games handicap market to obtain odds close to EVENS (2.00)

Robert, Tennis Tips UK Analyst – Ask me a question (I’ll respond within 24 hours)

What is the TENNIS TIPS UK CLUB?

Subscription service for tennis bettors to receive advisory direct to their inbox. This specifies the match, which bet and the recommended stake. Following these recommended picks has yielded a return in excess of 20% as of early 2024.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently.

How much profit have the picks made overall?

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.

How can I get access?

Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.

Do you offer any FREE PICKS?

Unfortunately not as the advisory must be kept private for club subscribers so they can easily obtain the quoted prices. Based on feedback from our community of external services we can recommend these free email betting tips for those with smaller bankrolls.

Free Pick P/L Report for Friday

C Ruud (Odds: 2.10) #FrenchOpen

-$1000 and failed to beat closing odds

Email Subscription URL: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/tag/tennis-betting-tips/

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2

Free Pick for French Open SF

C Ruud vs A Zverev
C Ruud (Match Winner)
2.10 @ Betfair Exchange
Friday 7th June 2024

In an average week; Tennis Tips UK advise two bets. One of these selections made available to everyone free of charge and the other for club subscribers only.

Club P/L Report: Wed 06 June

C Ruud (Odds: 2.32) #FrenchOpen

Void as Djokovic withdrew before match

Full results: https://betdiary.io/tipster/dashboard/10027/tennistipsuk/ (+14.6% yield)

Email Subscription URL: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/join/

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Club P/L Report: Mon 03 June

F Cerundolo (Odds: 8.80) #FrenchOpen

-$1000 but beat sharp closing line

Full results: https://betdiary.io/tipster/dashboard/10027/tennistipsuk/ (+14.6% yield)

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2

Club P/L Report: Sat 01 June

L Musetti (Odds: 7.00) #FrenchOpen

-$1000 but beat sharp closing line

Full results: https://tennis-tips.co.uk

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2

Club P/L Report: Fri 31 May

M Arnaldi (Odds: 5.20) #FrenchOpen

+ $4990 but failed to beat closing line

Full results: https://tennis-tips.co.uk

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2

Kotov vs Sinner Prediction: Argument for backing both players ahead of their third round French Open encounter on Friday.

Club P/L Report: Sunday 26 May

S Mochizuki (Odds: 15.09) #FrenchOpen

-1.00 unit and failed to beat closing line

Full results: https://tennis-tips.co.uk

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2

Club P/L Report: Friday 24 May

M Kukushkin (Odds: 2.05) #FrenchOpen

+1.05 units but failed to beat closing line

Full results: http://betdiary.io/tipster/bets/1…

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

3

Club P/L Report: Wednesday 22 May

T Griekspoor (Odds: 2.01) #ATPGeneva

+1.01 units and beat sharp closing line

Full results: https://betdiary.io/tipster/bets/10027/tennistipsuk/

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

3

Load More

Discover more from TENNIS TIPS UK

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.