Ruusuvuori vs Van Assche Prediction – Tuesday, 06 Feb 2024
Table of Contents
This R1 encounter is a tantalising prospect as it features two young talented players playing on a quick indoor hard court. Finnish world number 55 Ruusuvuori is priced as a moderate favourite priced in the 1.40-1.50 as of publication. However his progress is far more a formality given the challenge of facing a talented, powerful youngster on a faster surface in his home country. As always with tennis betting it’s vital to focus on short term form data rather than long term metrics as they have far less relevance.
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Match Winner (Moneyline Odds)
As alluded to previously, this match has a moderate favourite in the form of Ruusuvuori but the price for his opponent means bookmakers respect his chances. The flow of money will be interesting as the scheduled start time draws closer. However based on current prices let’s take a look at what this suggests in terms of the probability of each player emerging as the match winner.
Based on sharp bookmaker prices converging around 1.45 that would suggest Ruusuvuori has a roughly 69% chance of winning this match. That means his opponent has a 31% probability of progressing from this ATP Marseille 2024 first round.
To profit shrewd punters need to find a disconnect between the true probability and that suggested by the odds. This is referred to as a +EV wager and will deliver profit when backed over a large sample size.
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To conclude our Ruusuvuori vs Van Assche prediction it seems highly probable this will be a tight encounter. The over total sets and games markets seem appealing at first glance however as always focus purely on the price / odds and only enter a market at a value threshold. Try and remove the emotional reaction to individual results and instead focus long term.
