| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +37.10 | 13.60 | 33.00 | 4.31 | £3710 from backing every selection as of June 2025 |
This first round encounter – Brouwer vs Blanchet – is an interesting prospect. Brouwer has never progressed from the first round at the Challenger Lugano event despite trying for the last two consecutive years. He lost the only previous encounter with Blanchet in straight sets and top it off is ranked marginally lower. So why is he priced at just 1.30-1.40 at most bookmakers?
Let’s delve deep into the data to see if we can answer that question. As always this article has been published because this match features our analysts ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD). The selection itself is reserved for subscribers who have already received it direct to their email inbox as of 10:20 on 04/03/2024.
Interested in accessing our very best tennis bets for ATP, Grand Slam & Challenger events? Find out more about our Private Mailing List that has delivered a Return in Investment (ROI) in excess of 100% so far. You just need an email address and bookmaker account to replicate quoted profits – exchanges can also be used if there is sufficient liquidity. This service gives access to the ‘Bet of the Day‘ (BOTD) selection.
Gijs Brouwer has a 71.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on sharp bookmaker odds (correct as of publication and subject to change)
This calculation is derived from odds within the 1.30-1.40 range for the match winner market (ML)
The question is if these odds offer value? In the case they do our team would normally look at the asian handicap market to get a price closer to EVENS (2.00).
Ugo Blanchet has a 28.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on converting sharp bookmaker and exchange data into implied probability.
This thesis is reached from average sharp bookmaker prices of 3.00-3.40 for the 25 year old Frenchman.
At this price he’s certainly more appealing than his opponent in the match winner (ML) market but as always its only value that matters.
After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.
Due to popular demand we now track and verify all advised bets sent to subscribers via an verified spreadsheet. This documents the exact bets recommended and results in granular detail broken down into profit, yield and ROI.
How to join? Subscribe for just £0.99 (members receive the BOTD)
Unlock BOTD when you subscribe today. Historically these bets have delivered significant profit with a Return on Investment (ROI) in excess of 100%. Strike rate of 52% with average odds of 2.72 – Full Spreadsheet History
The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this post for Blanchet vs Brouwer. We offer a subscription service which tracks all it’s results publicly.
Please visit our extensive FAQ database with comprehensive answers based on over a decade of experience profiting from ATP and Challenger markets.
Outside of the illegal practise of match fixing there are no certainties in tennis betting. In other words every outcome has a probability of occurring. In some cases that may be tiny or a virtual certainty but the point is if you are able to bet on it then nothing is certain.
The objective is to back odds that offer value. That is to say the implied probability of the outcome (i.e Player A to win) from the odds obtained is much lower than the true chance of that occurring.
Let’s take an example. If you were offered odds of 2/1 (3.00) to correctly call a coin clip – i.e heads or tales – would you take it? Hopefully you answered yes as there is major value. True or fair odds would be just EVENS (2.00). However does that mean you will definitely win? No as it’s still just 50/50. You will lose just as often as you will win. The point is that the payout for the wins is significantly more than it should be.
So over a large sample size you will profit. It’s the exact same with tennis betting and that’s how you can profit long term for example through the BOTD subscription service.
Unlock ‘Bet of the Day’ with a historical yield in excess of 36.50% – View Full History
What is the purpose of club membership?
Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.
Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?
Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.
How will it work after joining?
Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.
Is club membership limited?
Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?
We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?
Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?
Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.
How is profit tracked?
For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.
Who picks the bets for club members?
Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.
Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?
We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?
The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.
Since 2013 we have actively built, deployed, maintained and optimised a tennis betting data model. This serves as the foundation of our team’s analysis. We don’t rely on it entirely but it gives a reliable indication as to where the price for a specific player should be. Significant discrepancies between this and actual live market prices across bookmakers and exchanges often flag our attention for further research.
No. When a specific bet is advised our team are stating there is value in the quoted odds. In other words the true probability of that outcome is higher than the implied figure derived from market odds. Long term backing these bets consistently will deliver considerable profit as our results illustrate. However members should be prepared to lose successive bets frequently as the club focuses on significant underdogs.
This is one of the key reasons that the club is only accessible via annual memberships. It was very frustrating to see some join for just a few weeks, lose bets then leave. This benefits nobody. New members should adopt a disciplined bankroll management strategy. The most common is simply staking 1% total bankroll per match. If a handful of consecutive losses would cause terminal bankroll damage then stakes need reducing.
This was a real email sent to club members. It may look a little intimidating initially but the selection in bold is the only essential piece of information to profit. We operate a simple staking strategy of 1 unit = 1% total bankroll. Each email consists of the tournament, match, selection, advised stake, minimum odds and projected win probability. This format will always be followed for consistency. 
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