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Australian Open 2025 Betting Preview: Is Sinner the smart prediction?

The 2025 tennis season is about to get underway and we are diving straight in at the deep end with some grand slam action. The question as always though is if there is any betting value present. There was a certain Italian star, affectionately known as ‘Carrot‘, who dominated last year with an impressive 93% match win rate. So is Jannik Sinner the smart prediction for the 2025 Australian Open outright winner?

How the market rates his chances

As of publication Sinner is priced around 2.70 across exchanges to win the 2025 iteration of the Australian Open. That suggests a 37% probability the Italian will win. It also indicates it is more likely there will be a winner from the remainder of the draw.

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The Argument FOR Sinner

He showcases remarkable consistency throughout the 2024 which wasn’t matched by anyone else on the tour. The court speed and conditions in Australia can be brutal and favour his predictable, baseline driven game. If he comes into 2025 at the same level the available odds are good value.

The Argument AGAINST Sinner

It’s the first event of the year which is notoriously volatile. Conditions are challenging for all players and the remainder of the draw is strong with the likes of Alcaraz and Djokovic registering as serious contenders.

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