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ATP Tennis Betting Preview – Guide to the matches scheduled on 20th Feb 2024
Table of Contents
Looking for a comprehensive breakdown of the ATP matches occurring on Tuesday 20th Feb? Well, your in the right place. With action from ATP Rio de Janeiro and the Qatar Open there is plenty of fuel for the fire (so to speak). There are many big name players competing to including former world number one Andy Murray. In this article you can expect insight for each encounter and hints as to where the best betting opportunities may be. An archive history is available showing all previous previews published.
Tennis Betting Insight – Direct to your inbox
All readers are welcome to subscribe to our free email newsletter. Unsubscribe at any time. Interested in accessing our very best tennis bets for ATP, Grand Slam & Challenger events? Find out more about our Private Mailing List that has delivered a Return in Investment (ROI) in excess of 100% so far.
ATP Rio de Janeiro Tips, Predictions & Picks
Moutet vs Baez – Baez a worthy favourite?
Sebastian Baez has a 82.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our internal statistical modelling .
This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.22 or above. As of publication there are multiple bookmakers and exchanges offering prices above this level.
On the flip side if wanting to back Corentin Moutet odds in excess of 6.00 would be required for an expected positive yield. Currently prices available are well below this threshold so best avoided.
Alcaraz vs Monteiro
Carlos Alcaraz has struggled over the past 6 months to maintain his meteoritic rise to the top of men’s tennis with multiple shock losses. Tennis Tips UK’s data modelling shows fair odds for the Spaniard in this encounter would be 1.10 (90% win probability). Any price above this level would therefore yield value.
Fils vs Fonseca
Arthur Fils should be priced at roughly 1.20 based on our data modelling. Any odds you can obtain significantly above this threshold would offer value. Fonseca would need a large price to offer value potentially above the 5.80-6.00 range. Look out for a significant odds drift if wanting to back him.
ATP Doha Tips, Predictions & Picks
Murray vs Muller
The horrific form of multiple grand slam champion Andy Murray has been well documented with many even hinting at his potential retirement. Bookmakers have priced this match as essentially a coin flip. Our insight differs slightly giving Murray slightly more credit. Value at 1.60 or above for the Scott.
Private Mailing List – Service Details
After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox.
Due to popular demand we now track and verify all advised bets sent to subscribers via an external public platform. This documents the exact bets recommended and results in granular detail broken down into profit, yield and ROI.
How to join? Apply for Membership
ATP Tennis Betting Preview – 20/02/2024 – FAQ
We can’t vouch for each individual service but the presented results are accurate on this network. They also offer a refund if you change your mind and many trial options.
Generally we promote the use of exchanges to avoid bookmaker limits and restrictions once you become profitable over the long term. Some countries have geographical restrictions to consider also. If you can you should 100% have an account with this bookmaker as they welcome winners.
Please contact our team via this form. Typical response time is within 12 hours.
The highest value market is reserved for subscribers of our private newsletter. However from the matches we have publicly discussed Murray offers the best value at current bookmaker prices.
What is the purpose of club membership?
Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.
Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?
Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.
How will it work after joining?
Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.
Is club membership limited?
Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?
We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?
Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?
Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.
How is profit tracked?
For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.
Who picks the bets for club members?
Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.
Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?
We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?
The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.
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