Tennis Betting Research: Opposing Tournament Winners in their next match

Opposing Tournament Winners in their next match

A player has just won an event. It could be another to add to the trophy cabinet or perhaps the first major success of a fledgling career. Either way though – that player has great form statistics and is full of confidence. Their next match may require some travel but surely, after multiple stellar displays against some of the world’s best, their victory in the first round against a relative nobody is a mere formality?

Hold your horses

This assumption often leads to an influx of money from recreational punters. Some even confidently making statements on social media to the effect of ‘its a certain winner’ or ‘there is no risk’ or ‘its a banker’. The reality? They are probably correct. But not in the way required to profit long term.

They are correct in that yes the big name player will probably win. But in many cases the underdog odds drift and value becomes present as a consequence of favouritism bias. The players tournament win is still fresh in punters minds and this drives disproportionate funds to back them.

So… just back the underdog indiscriminately?

As with all areas of tennis betting we research in search of an edge further filter criteria are required. However this is certainly an area to monitor particularly is a relative nobody on the circuit drifts well beyond the opening odds set at sharp bookmakers.