| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +137.00 | 36.20 | 33.80 | 5.03 | £13,700 from backing every selection as of February 2026 |
This first round encounter – Brouwer vs Blanchet – is an interesting prospect. Brouwer has never progressed from the first round at the Challenger Lugano event despite trying for the last two consecutive years. He lost the only previous encounter with Blanchet in straight sets and top it off is ranked marginally lower. So why is he priced at just 1.30-1.40 at most bookmakers?
Let’s delve deep into the data to see if we can answer that question. As always this article has been published because this match features our analysts ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD). The selection itself is reserved for subscribers who have already received it direct to their email inbox as of 10:20 on 04/03/2024.
Interested in accessing our very best tennis bets for ATP, Grand Slam & Challenger events? Find out more about our Private Mailing List that has delivered a Return in Investment (ROI) in excess of 100% so far. You just need an email address and bookmaker account to replicate quoted profits – exchanges can also be used if there is sufficient liquidity. This service gives access to the ‘Bet of the Day‘ (BOTD) selection.
Gijs Brouwer has a 71.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on sharp bookmaker odds (correct as of publication and subject to change)
This calculation is derived from odds within the 1.30-1.40 range for the match winner market (ML)
The question is if these odds offer value? In the case they do our team would normally look at the asian handicap market to get a price closer to EVENS (2.00).
Ugo Blanchet has a 28.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on converting sharp bookmaker and exchange data into implied probability.
This thesis is reached from average sharp bookmaker prices of 3.00-3.40 for the 25 year old Frenchman.
At this price he’s certainly more appealing than his opponent in the match winner (ML) market but as always its only value that matters.
After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.
Due to popular demand we now track and verify all advised bets sent to subscribers via an verified spreadsheet. This documents the exact bets recommended and results in granular detail broken down into profit, yield and ROI.
How to join? Subscribe for just £0.99 (members receive the BOTD)
Unlock BOTD when you subscribe today. Historically these bets have delivered significant profit with a Return on Investment (ROI) in excess of 100%. Strike rate of 52% with average odds of 2.72 – Full Spreadsheet History
The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this post for Blanchet vs Brouwer. We offer a subscription service which tracks all it’s results publicly.
Please visit our extensive FAQ database with comprehensive answers based on over a decade of experience profiting from ATP and Challenger markets.
Outside of the illegal practise of match fixing there are no certainties in tennis betting. In other words every outcome has a probability of occurring. In some cases that may be tiny or a virtual certainty but the point is if you are able to bet on it then nothing is certain.
The objective is to back odds that offer value. That is to say the implied probability of the outcome (i.e Player A to win) from the odds obtained is much lower than the true chance of that occurring.
Let’s take an example. If you were offered odds of 2/1 (3.00) to correctly call a coin clip – i.e heads or tales – would you take it? Hopefully you answered yes as there is major value. True or fair odds would be just EVENS (2.00). However does that mean you will definitely win? No as it’s still just 50/50. You will lose just as often as you will win. The point is that the payout for the wins is significantly more than it should be.
So over a large sample size you will profit. It’s the exact same with tennis betting and that’s how you can profit long term for example through the BOTD subscription service.
Unlock ‘Bet of the Day’ with a historical yield in excess of 36.50% – View Full History
TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it WorksFollow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.
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