Tennis Tips UK · Research & reports
ATP Madrid 2024 Tennis Betting Preview: Nadal returns after lengthy absence
Published April 16, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open: Tennis Betting Insight
The 2024 iteration of the Mutua Madrid Open has grabbed the attention of tennis bettors around the world due to the fact the field is relatively strong this year. There is also the small matter of the return of one of the greatest players of all time in the form of multiple time champion Rafael Nadal.
From a tennis betting perspective – where is the value this year at the ATP Masters 1000 Madrid? As always our analysts have focused their event preview on probability and any discrepancies between this value and the odds on offer across bookmaker and exchanges.
To make this insight as digestible as possible it is prevented with a breakdown for each individual competitor. This analysis can benefit tennis bettors throughout the event as it progresses and help to identify value opportunities. For more generic advice on profiting from tennis explore our guide.
ATP Madrid 2024 Preview
Mutua Madrid Open Player Analysis
After an extended period of injury issues he is unlikely to progress far beyond the first few rounds. His stellar record at this event (most recently winning in 2021) counts for little and is why he is priced far higher than most would have thought possible in previous years.
Fresh from another victory in Monte Carlo; the Greek star is one of the favourites in Madrid. A word of caution is that his general clay court record is significantly weaker than that of his attainment in Monte Carlo specifically. The conditions in Madrid after unlikely to favour him as much.
Definitely the stand out in the outright market for value seekers. Solid clay court form data and the slow Madrid courts should be perfect for him.
The data shows it’s slow (even for clay). This typically favours favourites over underdogs as the points as longer and more drawn out. Bear this in mind when considering which players to back this week at the Mutua Madrid Open.
All picks advised to club members are tracked via this public spreadsheet. Historically our analysts have managed to product a positive yield over the long term even when quoting prices exclusively from sharp bookmakers or exchanges. There is a quality of quantity policy with an average of just 1-2 bets per week.
Assess any tipster using its complete record, including losses, the prices you can obtain, losing runs, membership costs and cancellation terms. Past results do not guarantee future profit.
See the wider picture.
Read the research alongside the complete results record. See every win and loss and how our proprietary data model and human review select picks.
To interpret prices alongside outcomes, read our research on closing line value. It explains what a market benchmark can show and where it can mislead.
Payment & membership details
Credit and debit cards are accepted through Stripe. PayPal, Apple Pay and Link are also offered where available. Stripe displays the payment options available for your device and country at checkout.
£49.99/month is the base membership price. Stripe may show a local-currency price; check the first payment and renewal amount before subscribing.
All picks and member emails are delivered in English. International members are welcome where betting is legal.
You manage your membership through Stripe and can cancel whenever you choose, without contacting us for approval. Cancellation and refunds are separate.
Member reviews: TipsterCheck ↗ Trustpilot ↗
Maximum 50 paid members. No bookmaker affiliate links. Historical results are before fees and do not guarantee future returns.
Explore tennis betting value and profitability, units and bankroll management, or the tennis picks and results archive.
FREE TENNIS BETTING PICK
One upcoming selection. Free.
Subscribe free and confirm your email to qualify for one upcoming pre-match tennis betting pick. Our team will send it manually when the next club selection is available.
You’ll also receive published club results and an exclusive discount code by email after confirmation, if you decide to become a full paid club member. Membership is optional.
- Tournament
- Locked until sent by email
- Match
- Locked until sent by email
- Advised bet
- Locked until sent by email
- Stake
- Locked until sent by email
- Odds / bookmaker
- Locked until sent by email
Selection details sent privately by email after confirmation, when available.
Check your inbox to confirm. Missing the email? Check Spam, Junk or Promotions and add the sender to your contacts. One free pick per eligible new confirmed subscriber. 18+. Betting involves risk. Unsubscribe at any time.Privacy policy.
