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Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » ATP Madrid 2024 Tennis Betting Preview: Nadal returns after lengthy absence

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Mutua Madrid Open: Tennis Betting Insight

The 2024 iteration of the Mutua Madrid Open has grabbed the attention of tennis bettors around the world due to the fact the field is relatively strong this year. There is also the small matter of the return of one of the greatest players of all time in the form of multiple time champion Rafael Nadal.

From a tennis betting perspective – where is the value this year at the ATP Masters 1000 Madrid? As always our analysts have focused their event preview on probability and any discrepancies between this value and the odds on offer across bookmaker and exchanges.

To make this insight as digestible as possible it is prevented with a breakdown for each individual competitor. This analysis can benefit tennis bettors throughout the event as it progresses and help to identify value opportunities. For more generic advice on profiting from tennis explore our guide.

After the conclusion of the Madrid Open the attention turns to the Challenger circuit.

Table of Contents

ATP Madrid 2024 Preview

Mutua Madrid Open Player Analysis

Rafael Nadal

After an extended period of injury issues he is unlikely to progress far beyond the first few rounds. His stellar record at this event (most recently winning in 2021) counts for little and is why he is priced far higher than most would have thought possible in previous years.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Fresh from another victory in Monte Carlo; the Greek star is one of the favourites in Madrid. A word of caution is that his general clay court record is significantly weaker than that of his attainment in Monte Carlo specifically. The conditions in Madrid after unlikely to favour him as much.

Casper Ruud

Definitely the stand out in the outright market for value seekers. Solid clay court form data and the slow Madrid courts should be perfect for him.

What are the court speed and conditions like at the ATP Madrid Open?

The data shows it’s slow (even for clay). This typically favours favourites over underdogs as the points as longer and more drawn out. Bear this in mind when considering which players to back this week at the Mutua Madrid Open.

Curious to see how Tennis Tips UK perform?

All picks advised to club members are tracked via this public spreadsheet. Historically our analysts have managed to product a positive yield over the long term even when quoting prices exclusively from sharp bookmakers or exchanges. There is a quality of quantity policy with an average of just 1-2 bets per week.

Are there any external tipsters you recommend?

Tennis Tips UK frequently survey their members to ask for feedback on third party sports tipsters. Most of the time the comments focus on those to avoid however occasionally a positive trend emerges for a particular service such as for this tipster from feedback gathered in early 2024. We recommend caution when trialing new services – some members even ‘paper trade’ early on (i.e follow results without placing real money bets).


Subscription service for tennis bettors to receive advisory direct to their inbox. This specifies the match, which bet and the recommended stake. Following these recommended picks has yielded a return in excess of 10% as of early 2024.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently.

How much profit have the picks made overall?

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.

How can I get access?

Club membership is currently open through a 7 Day Trial. This can be cancelled at any time. Subscribers can expect to receive 1-2 picks per week via email on average. These will be match winner bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.