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Profit (units)
Yield (%)
Strike Rate (%)
Average Odds (Decimal)
Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick)
+101.30
32.00
34.80
4.66
£10,130 from backing every selection as of October 2025
Italian Sinner has enjoyed a meteoric rise to the top of the men’s game over the past few years. Our analysts backed him the previous round and he came through comfortably. Whilst he always showed promise, few backed him to accumulate the number of titles he has already added to his cabined by such a young age. He faces what on paper will be a much tougher contest in this R16 contest however bookmakers expect him to progress pricing him at just 1.10 on average as of publication.
So… Can Sinner beat Khachanov?
Let’s take a look at the probability indicated by available odds from reputable sources. Most bookmakers and exchanges are covering the Sinner vs Khachanov encounter given the fact its the main draw at a major grand slam event so there is plenty of data to work with and get some meaningful insight.
Based on data from sharp bookmakers and exchanges offering Sinner to win priced in just the 1.10-1.12 range and adjusting to factor in the bookmaker edge. Data correct as of publication and subject to change.
So let’s translate this to something meaningful (AKA probability percentage chance) Sinner has a 90.00% chance of beating Khachanov at the Australian Open on Sunday 21st January 2024. By the same logic his opponent is most likely to prevail by a significant margin. has just a 1/10 probability of progressing to the next round.
Should I bet on Sinner to beat Khachanov today?
Sinner is priced at such short odds that the match winner market is rather unappealing. His opponent is equally as unattractive given the historically poor performance of underdogs in men’s tennis. This encounter is a perfect example of where it could be best to explore alternative markets such as the set betting, games handicap, set handicap and total games options which are widely available at most bookmakers nowadays. These options are explorer in much more detail in the FAQ section below.
Sinner vs Khachanov – Tennis Betting FAQ
Will Sinner beat Khachanov?
As calculated previously; 90% is the estimated probability of this outcome. Whilst that may sound appealing initially the available odds correlate with this at just 1.10 on average as of publication (odds subject to change). If the odds drift significantly it could become appealing to back the Italian.
Will Sinner win in straight sets? (i.e Sinner 3-0 Set Betting)
Considering we are always searching for a healthy risk/reward ratio in tennis betting this could be more appealing versus the match winner money line option. The probability of this outcome is approximately 51% based on our modelling. So odds close or above EVENS (2.00) could offer value.
Will there be O/U total games for Sinner vs Khachanov?
The over +34.5 total games line is currently where bookmakers think the probability lies at roughly 50/50. In this case those looking to back the under may be better going with the aforementioned Sinner to win in straight sets.
Who will hit the most aces in Sinner vs Khachanov?
Khachanov is a marginal favourite for this market. The Russian is expected to record an average of one more ace than Sinner (over a large sample size this is how it would most likely play out)
To answer the original question – Can Sinner beat Khachanov? – The answer is yes and given the calculated probability this is overwhelmingly the most likely outcome of the R16 match. In terms of tennis betting opportunities though it may be best to have a look at alternative markets for this one. The standout is definitely the Italian world number four to win in straight sets currently available at around 1.90-2.00 as of publication. Odds quoted subject to fluctuation.
Robert, Tennis Tips UK Analyst
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On average there will be 2-3 bets advised per week. This will be either a match winner, asian handicap or over/under total games market that’s accessible via all major bookmakers.
The selections are picked by tipsters (many private individuals who have never offered a public service) that we have discovered and verified since our portal was founded back in 2013. All prediction providers have delivered a sustained ROI in excess of 10%.
We use a simple 1% per selection bankroll management system. The odds quoted are available at multiple bookmakers and exchanges so it’s practical to replicate returns. All advisory is published at least 24 hours before the scheduled start time.
Synopsis: An email service where members receive daily betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a daily ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found for that day. This is exclusively available through the full access plan.
Who picks the advised bets?
Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks six hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Betfair Exchange, Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner or set betting / handicap are the market types used.
How much profit have the picks made overall?
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £7000 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.
How do you profit from tennis betting?
There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
Our objective is to consolidate the highest ROI tennis analysts, tipsters and individuals we have discovered & verified over the past decade into a single subscription service. It’s also to educate those looking to understand tennis betting from a profitable perspective.
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