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Fonseca vs Garin Tips – Who will win this R16 matchup? ATP Rio de Janeiro 2024 Betting Prediction from Tennis Tips UK

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There is plenty of action scheduled for today but there is one encounter that caught our attention from a tennis betting perspective. That is the R16 encounter at the Rio Open featuring Garin vs Fonseca. Bookmakers have priced this match as a coinflip (i.e 50/50) however there is often value to be found in such encounters for those willing to dedicate a little time to research, analysis and statistical data modelling. Don’t worry though the Tennis Tips UK have done the hard work already and you can find their insight in the proceeding article. An archive history is available showing all previous match previews published.

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ATP Rio de Janeiro Tips – Friday 23/02/2024 00:30 (UK Time)

The Argument for Fonseca

Joao Fonseca has a 54.20% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our internal statistical modelling. This is an approach similar to how bookmaker traders collate odds but with a differing view on the significance of certain factors.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.95 or above. As of publication there are multiple bookmakers and exchanges offering prices above this level so there is marginal value present.

He is young and inexperienced and ranked much lower than his opponent. However his recent form metrics are highly impressive including a dominant first round win over Arthur Fils despite being priced above 4.00 to progress from this matchup.

Fonseca betting facts graphic by Tennis Tips UK - Fonseca vs Garin Tips Rio Open 2024

The Argument for Garin

Garin match facts - Garin vs Fonseca prediction, tips and betting insight

Cristian Garin has a 45.80% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our analysts calculations.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 2.20 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average below EVENS which would suggest this market is best avoided if seeking value.

However there are additional factors to consider. Garin is experienced and his opponent is just 17 years old. He also won the Rio Open back in 2020 so has good pedigree with the court speed and conditions.

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After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.

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Fonseca vs Garin Tips – 23/02/2024 – FAQ

Who will win this Rio Open R16 match?

As always the outcome is not known but probabilities are a good place to focus attention if looking to profit. Based on current odds it appears Fonseca offers value if you can obtain odds around EVENS (2.00). Remember to focus long term and only wager small amounts per encounter.

I have a different question regarding tennis betting in general?

Please contact our team via this form. Typical response time is within 12 hours.

Have Tennis Tips UK historically profited from their advised bets?

The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this post for Garin vs Fonseca.

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Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.

As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.

How can I get access?

Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.

How do you profit from tennis betting?

There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.

Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?

There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.

Looking to join the club? – 8/10 Places Reserved

Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.

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