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Fresh from his success in SW19, Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz leads the field in Canada priced at around 2.50-2.50 with most bookmakers to take home the main prize. However the 2023 iteration of ‘The National Bank Open’ is likely to be plain sailing with a strong field featuring the likes of Murray, Tsitsipas and Medvedev to name just a few. So where are the best betting opportunities for the shrewd tennis punter?
A Brief History: ATP Toronto Betting Preview
This event is officially known as the Rogers Cup, and it is one of the prestigious tournaments on the ATP Tour. The history of this event dates back to the late 1800s, making it one of the oldest tennis tournaments in the world.
The Rogers Cup alternates between two cities, Toronto and Montreal, on an annual basis. It is part of the ATP World Tour Masters 1000 series, which consists of nine elite tournaments on the men’s professional tennis circuit. The event in Montreal is exclusively for the men’s tournament, while the Toronto edition includes both men’s and women’s tournaments.
Here’s a brief overview of the history of the ATP Toronto (Rogers Cup) tennis event:
- Founding: The inaugural edition of the tournament took place in 1881, and it was known as the Canadian Championships. Initially, it was an amateur event, and it remained that way until the 1960s.
- Transition to Professional Era: In the late 1960s, the tournament transitioned into the professional era of tennis, becoming part of the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) Tour.
- Name Changes: Throughout its history, the tournament has undergone several name changes due to sponsorship deals. One of the most notable sponsors was Du Maurier, leading to the tournament being known as the Du Maurier Open for many years.
- Switch Between Toronto and Montreal: In 1981, the Canadian Open (as it was called then) started alternating between Toronto and Montreal on a yearly basis, effectively splitting the men’s and women’s events. The women’s tournament was designated as a WTA Premier 5 event, which is one level below the WTA Premier Mandatory events.
- Emergence as a Premier Event: Over the years, the Rogers Cup has become one of the most prestigious events on the tennis calendar, attracting top players from around the world. Its status as a Masters 1000 event on the ATP Tour ensures that it offers a significant number of ranking points to the players.
- Venue Changes: Throughout its history, the tournament has been held at various venues in Toronto, with the Aviva Centre (previously known as the Rexall Centre) at York University being the main venue for the men’s tournament.
The tournament’s long history, along with its status as a premier ATP World Tour Masters 1000 event, has cemented its position as one of the key stops on the tennis calendar for both players and fans alike. Learn how to profit from major events like ATP Toronto.
Main Contenders: Where is the smart money?
Unsurprisingly Carlos Alcaraz has attracted the majority of backing following his affirmed status as world number one and victory over Novak Djokovic in London – however at a price of just 6/4 (2.50) on average there is little value. So let’s divert our focus towards underdogs available at much higher prices.
Our analysts like the look of Holger Rune at such a generous price. His game has steadily progressed over recent years and he’s proven capable of competing at the highest level. The court speed and conditions in Toronto should suit his game.
What is the purpose of club membership?
Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.
Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?
Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.
How will it work after joining?
Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.
Is club membership limited?
Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?
We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?
Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?
Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.
How is profit tracked?
For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.
Who picks the bets for club members?
Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.
Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?
We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?
The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.
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