This round of 16 encounter between rising star Zhang Zhizhen and the more established Riccardo Bonadio at the ‘Tennis Napoli Cup’ promises to offer a spectacle but where does the value lie from a tennis betting perspective? The Tennis Tips UK team explore this and more below – Zhang vs Bonadio Free Tips.

2Over 22.5 (Total Games)2.19 @ Pinnacle
3Over 2.5 (Total Sets)2.76 @ Pinnacle
Odds correct as of publication for Zhang vs Bonadio. Sunday 16 Oct 2022

The market certainly seems to favour the Chinese youngster over the domestic hopeful. The match winner price opened at an average price of around 1.25-1.30 and hasn’t drifted significantly since.

Traders at the notoriously sharp bookmaker Pinnacle have bucked this trend however by backing the Italian relentlessly from an opening price of 3.75 down to just 3.10 (indicating a win probability of around 30%). This could suggest value at other bookmakers currently offering larger prices.

Zhang vs Bonadio free tips (Odds shortening)

There has been consistent backing for the Italian at this particular bookmaker. This is important as they happen to be the only bookmaker where winners are permitted. This typically means there line is the sharpest aside perhaps from exchanges.

Overall indications are that the Italian Bonadio may offer value at a price above 3.20 however its the total games, sets and a specific asian handicap market that present the best value currently.

Zhang vs Bonadio Free Tips – Key Takeaways

  • Head to head (H2H) is led by Bonadio 1-0 however this largely irrelevant as its from a futures match from years ago. Always consider context when evaluating data relevance.

  • Market movements suggest the Italian offers value but only at a large price.
  • Consider simply trying to beat the Start Price (SP). Movements on the Zhang vs Bonadio Exchange Market often offer an early indicator of big price swings and can be exploited before bookmakers catch up.
  • The hard court surface is a major factor in the favour of Zhang however this is already clearly priced into the available odds so isn’t indicative of a value opportunity in isolation. See our guide to ’Why Bet on Tennis’ to learn more about how to profit from tennis betting long term.

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