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Ruud vs Tsitsipas Tips – Who will progress to the final in Mexico?

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At Tennis Tips UK we love a ‘coinflip matchup’ – in other words when bookmakers price both prices in the 1.90-2.00 range. A specific player invariably offers value for those willing to put in the analysis. There was a perfect demonstration of this yesterday when our analysts correctly predicted Fonseca offered value. Can they make the corrrect call again for Tsitsipas vs Ruud?

Well, we have another treat today as the semi-final matchup over in Mexico has also been priced in a similar fashion. It’s a tantalising prospect on paper as rising star Ruud faces Tsitsipas for a place in the final. The key question as always though is which player (if any) offers value at the currently available prices? Odds quoted are correct as of publication and are obviously subject to fluctuation. To aid this our team publish a price at which each selection offers value so if prices shorten/drift you can still make informed betting decisions with data driven insight. That’s the waffle out of the way – let’s get on with exploring our Ruud vs Tsitsipas tips, prediction and betting insight for this ATP Los Cabos encounter.

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ATP Los Cabos Tips – Saturday 24/02/2024 02:00 (UK Time)

The Argument for Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud has a 60.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our internal statistical modelling. This is an approach similar to how bookmaker traders collate odds but with a differing view on the significance of certain factors.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.66 or above. As of publication there are multiple bookmakers and exchanges offering prices above this level so there is moderate value present.

His hard court attainment was a little erratic with just a 50% win rate for the 2023 season overall but he seems to be showing greater consistency so far this year.

ruud player profile graphic by Tennis Tips UK

The Argument for Stefanos Tsitsipas

tsitipas player facts for ATP Los Cabos semi-final on 24/02/2024 - Ruud vs Tsitsipas tips

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 39.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our analysts calculations.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 2.60 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average around EVENS which would suggest this market is best avoided if seeking value.

Remember ‘good bets lose and bad bets win‘. This doesn’t mean Tsitsipas can’t win but is the risk/reward ratio on offer considering the odds going to deliver profit long term? Not based on our analysis.

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Ruud vs Tsitsipas – 24/02/2024 – FAQ

Who will win this ATP Los Cabos SF match?

As always the outcome is not known but probabilities are a good place to focus attention if looking to profit. Based on current odds it appears Ruud offers value if you can obtain odds just below EVENS which are available across most bookmakers at the time of publication. Remember to focus long term and only wager small amounts per encounter.

I have a different question regarding tennis betting in general?

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Have Tennis Tips UK historically profited from their advised bets?

The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this post for Ruud vs Tsitsipas. We offer a subscription service which tracks all it’s results publicly.

Do you have any additional Ruud vs Tsitsipas tips, predictions or insight?

There are a plethora of betting markets available for this match. The over total games market could be appealing and Ruud with a negative handicap if backed at the correct price.

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