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Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » Fonseca vs Garin Tips | ATP Rio de Janeiro – 23/02/2024 Prediction

Fonseca vs Garin Tips – Who will win this R16 matchup? ATP Rio de Janeiro 2024 Betting Prediction from Tennis Tips UK

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There is plenty of action scheduled for today but there is one encounter that caught our attention from a tennis betting perspective. That is the R16 encounter at the Rio Open featuring Garin vs Fonseca. Bookmakers have priced this match as a coinflip (i.e 50/50) however there is often value to be found in such encounters for those willing to dedicate a little time to research, analysis and statistical data modelling. Don’t worry though the Tennis Tips UK have done the hard work already and you can find their insight in the proceeding article. An archive history is available showing all previous match previews published.

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ATP Rio de Janeiro Tips – Friday 23/02/2024 00:30 (UK Time)

The Argument for Fonseca

Joao Fonseca has a 54.20% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our internal statistical modelling. This is an approach similar to how bookmaker traders collate odds but with a differing view on the significance of certain factors.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.95 or above. As of publication there are multiple bookmakers and exchanges offering prices above this level so there is marginal value present.

He is young and inexperienced and ranked much lower than his opponent. However his recent form metrics are highly impressive including a dominant first round win over Arthur Fils despite being priced above 4.00 to progress from this matchup.

Fonseca betting facts graphic by Tennis Tips UK - Fonseca vs Garin Tips Rio Open 2024

The Argument for Garin

Garin match facts - Garin vs Fonseca prediction, tips and betting insight

Cristian Garin has a 45.80% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our analysts calculations.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 2.20 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average below EVENS which would suggest this market is best avoided if seeking value.

However there are additional factors to consider. Garin is experienced and his opponent is just 17 years old. He also won the Rio Open back in 2020 so has good pedigree with the court speed and conditions.

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After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.

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Fonseca vs Garin Tips – 23/02/2024 – FAQ

Who will win this Rio Open R16 match?

As always the outcome is not known but probabilities are a good place to focus attention if looking to profit. Based on current odds it appears Fonseca offers value if you can obtain odds around EVENS (2.00). Remember to focus long term and only wager small amounts per encounter.

I have a different question regarding tennis betting in general?

Please contact our team via this form. Typical response time is within 12 hours.

Have Tennis Tips UK historically profited from their advised bets?

The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this post for Garin vs Fonseca.

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Synopsis: An email service where members receive daily betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a daily ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found for that day. This is exclusively available through the full access plan.

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Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks six hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.

Odds sourced from Betfair Exchange, Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner or set betting / handicap are the market types used.

How much profit have the picks made overall?

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.

As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £7000 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.

How do you profit from tennis betting?

There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.