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This first round encounter – Brouwer vs Blanchet – is an interesting prospect. Brouwer has never progressed from the first round at the Challenger Lugano event despite trying for the last two consecutive years. He lost the only previous encounter with Blanchet in straight sets and top it off is ranked marginally lower. So why is he priced at just 1.30-1.40 at most bookmakers?
Let’s delve deep into the data to see if we can answer that question. As always this article has been published because this match features our analysts ‘Bet of the Day’ (BOTD). The selection itself is reserved for subscribers who have already received it direct to their email inbox as of 10:20 on 04/03/2024.
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Gijs Brouwer has a 71.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on sharp bookmaker odds (correct as of publication and subject to change)
This calculation is derived from odds within the 1.30-1.40 range for the match winner market (ML)
The question is if these odds offer value? In the case they do our team would normally look at the asian handicap market to get a price closer to EVENS (2.00).
Ugo Blanchet has a 28.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on converting sharp bookmaker and exchange data into implied probability.
This thesis is reached from average sharp bookmaker prices of 3.00-3.40 for the 25 year old Frenchman.
At this price he’s certainly more appealing than his opponent in the match winner (ML) market but as always its only value that matters.
After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.
Due to popular demand we now track and verify all advised bets sent to subscribers via an verified spreadsheet. This documents the exact bets recommended and results in granular detail broken down into profit, yield and ROI.
How to join? Subscribe for just £0.99 (members receive the BOTD)
Unlock BOTD when you subscribe today. Historically these bets have delivered significant profit with a Return on Investment (ROI) in excess of 100%. Strike rate of 52% with average odds of 2.72 – Full Spreadsheet History
The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but we have finally arrived at a single subscription service for our best value bets. We also publish some analysis for free like this post for Blanchet vs Brouwer. We offer a subscription service which tracks all it’s results publicly.
Please visit our extensive FAQ database with comprehensive answers based on over a decade of experience profiting from ATP and Challenger markets.
Outside of the illegal practise of match fixing there are no certainties in tennis betting. In other words every outcome has a probability of occurring. In some cases that may be tiny or a virtual certainty but the point is if you are able to bet on it then nothing is certain.
The objective is to back odds that offer value. That is to say the implied probability of the outcome (i.e Player A to win) from the odds obtained is much lower than the true chance of that occurring.
Let’s take an example. If you were offered odds of 2/1 (3.00) to correctly call a coin clip – i.e heads or tales – would you take it? Hopefully you answered yes as there is major value. True or fair odds would be just EVENS (2.00). However does that mean you will definitely win? No as it’s still just 50/50. You will lose just as often as you will win. The point is that the payout for the wins is significantly more than it should be.
So over a large sample size you will profit. It’s the exact same with tennis betting and that’s how you can profit long term for example through the BOTD subscription service.
Unlock ‘Bet of the Day’ with a historical yield in excess of 36.50% – View Full History
TENNIS TIPS UK CLUB MEMBERSHIP – How it WorksFollow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is no subscription so simply stay as long as you want. The number of members is capped so sometimes a waiting list is activated. All advisory of this type is exclusive to paid members.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below.
How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.How can I get access?Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
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