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Fri 31 May – Kotov vs Sinner Tips

A data driven look ahead to the third round encounter at Roland Garros between higher flyer Sinner and relatively unknown challenger Kotov. The odds suggest there can only be one winner but is there value to be harvested for the shrewd tennis punter? Benefit from analyst insight whom have a proven profit record with the Kotov vs Sinner prediction for their French Open matchup.

Our team are often asked to recommend good tipsters but this is challenging as they are few and far between. Researching options on a verified tipster network is a good place to start. Focus on long term attainment and if the odds quoted are obtainable at your bookmakers.

The Argument for Sinner

Sinner win probability infographic from TENNIS TIPS UK (French Open vs Kotov)

The Italian has dominated in 2024 so far and is a deserved favourite not only to win this match but also to potentially lift the trophy itself. So what are the reasons to back him?

  • Imperious clay court form record (8-1)
  • Much higher ranked than opponent
  • Attracted significant sharp money on exchanges
  • His opponent has a much higher court time this week at Roland Garros so fatigue could be an issue.

In summary; the reasons to back Sinner are numerous but his odds reflect this with an exceptionally poor return.

HINT: If wanting to back Sinner consider the asian handicap markets instead to boost potential returns. A healthy risk to reward ratio in crucial for profitable betting.

The Argument for Kotov

Kotov probability of winning vs Sinner by Tennis Tips UK

Kotov has come through multiple tough challenges already at Roland Garros. The odds suggest he has a low change of winning this encounter but what are the reasons to back him for the courageous tennis bettor?

  • Solid clay court form record (10-5)
  • Surface speed suits his play style
  • Stellar potential returns given odds in excess of 20.00 as of publication

In summary; Kotov is highly unlikely to win this match but the risk to reward ratio is appealing given the exceptionally high odds.

HINT: Kotov can be backed with a positive set handicap meaning he doesn’t have to win overall. This could be crucial given the fact fatigue could become a factor over five sets.

Data Driven Tennis Predictions

1-2 bets per week with historical yield in excess of 10.00% – View Full History


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Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.

Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?

Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.

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Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.

Is club membership limited?

Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.

What bankroll is required?

We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.

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Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.

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Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.

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For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.

For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.

Who picks the bets for club members?

Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.

Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?

We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.

Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?

The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.


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