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Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » ATP Indian Wells 2025 Betting Preview: Where is the smart money flowing?
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ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells BNP Paribas Open 2025 Betting Preview: Where is the smart money flowing?

The ATP Indian Wells 2025 event will host some of the biggest name’s in world tennis. Albeit with the noticeable exception of world number one Jannik Sinner following his doping ban which will see him out until the summer swing. Serbian star Novak Djokovic is expected to compete however and will be sure to draw the crowds.

Now we are dispensed with the formalities let’s get into the reason you are here – What are the smart betting opportunities for the BNP Paribas Open 2025?

For those looking to skip the complex theory and just benefit directly from easy to follow betting picks our betting club is a good place to start. It offers multiple exclusive betting tips each week with a proven track record.

First time club members can get their first three months at a discounted rate. Please note this link will only be active if places are available. Service delivered via email.

Novak Djokovic: Erratic Performances

The consistent, imperious version of the Serbian great is a distant memory nowadays with multiple notable losses against lesser opponents. However he certainly retains the ability and mental determination to triumph in the Californian desert.

Bullish Case: Despite inconsistent results he has a solid record at Indian Wells specifically and perhaps the three set format will suit him better as he reaches the later stages of his career.

Bearish Case: The market often prices him at a level below true probability due to the inevitable backing from recreational punters recognising his name in the draw. This is to protect their book liability. He’s also struggled physically over recent months.

Carlos Alcaraz: Probable Favourite

Another player producing some highs and lows over the past few months. He’s likely to be graded as the favourite for this year’s Indian Wells Open. Is this justified? Given the omission of Jannik Sinner the answer is probably yes but the remainder of the draw is strong.

Bullish Case: At his best he’s hard to beat. Arguably on another level even versus Sinner and Djokovic playing at their current peak. He has the ability but will he execute. As always focus on price not sentiment. Look for odds that suggest value. Perhaps if he drifts after a weak first round performance that he scrapes through.

Bearish Case: Multiple losses to opponents who he should be beating even when below his best. To win an event like Indian Wells requires consistency. He hasn’t played for a few weeks.

Jack Draper: Conditions Warning

The young Brit has shown great promise over the past 12 months with some superb victories. However a persistent negative theme has been his inability to deal with the physical challenges that elite tennis presents. The fact Indian Wells is located in the Palm desert is unlikely to help with this although of course it is only the three set format.

Bullish Case: The aforementioned lack of physical resilience is unlikely to have escaped the notice of his team. Hopefully steps have been taken to improve this or at least manage the impact more effectively to mitigate adverse outcomes. He has the ability to beat everyone in the draw however significant odds would be needed to factor for the extreme volatility.

Bearish Case: Even if he produces his best; various other key contenders in the draw will need to be a level below theirs for the Brit to prevail. Again it all comes down to price. Odds in the double digits could appeal.

Tennis Picks for ATP Indian Wells

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What is the purpose of club membership?

Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.

Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?

Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.

How will it work after joining?

Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.

Is club membership limited?

Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.

What bankroll is required?

We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.

What type of bets should I expect?

Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.

Who is the club open to?

Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.

How is profit tracked?

For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.

For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.

Who picks the bets for club members?

Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.

Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?

We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.

Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?

The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.

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