Profit (units)Yield (%)Strike Rate (%)Average Odds (Decimal)Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick)
+138.2035.4033.804.99£13,820 from backing every selection as of March 2026

Tennis Tips UK have now helped multiple long term club members build bankrolls in excess of £1,000,000 or currency equivalent in €/$ through backing picks with a compounding bankroll plan. In other words betting with a fixed percentage of total bankroll per match so that as your total bankroll grows so does the stake. There are challenges as stakes grow such as bookmaker limits and liquidity issues but we are able to provide solutions in most cases such as by using tools like exchanges, winners welcome bookmakers and betting brokers.

Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » ATP Indian Wells 2025 Betting Preview: Where is the smart money flowing?

ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells BNP Paribas Open 2025 Betting Preview: Where is the smart money flowing?

The ATP Indian Wells 2025 event will host some of the biggest name’s in world tennis. Albeit with the noticeable exception of world number one Jannik Sinner following his doping ban which will see him out until the summer swing. Serbian star Novak Djokovic is expected to compete however and will be sure to draw the crowds.

Now we are dispensed with the formalities let’s get into the reason you are here – What are the smart betting opportunities for the BNP Paribas Open 2025?

For those looking to skip the complex theory and just benefit directly from easy to follow betting picks our betting club is a good place to start. It offers multiple exclusive betting tips each week with a proven track record.

First time club members can get their first three months at a discounted rate. Please note this link will only be active if places are available. Service delivered via email.

Novak Djokovic: Erratic Performances

The consistent, imperious version of the Serbian great is a distant memory nowadays with multiple notable losses against lesser opponents. However he certainly retains the ability and mental determination to triumph in the Californian desert.

Bullish Case: Despite inconsistent results he has a solid record at Indian Wells specifically and perhaps the three set format will suit him better as he reaches the later stages of his career.

Bearish Case: The market often prices him at a level below true probability due to the inevitable backing from recreational punters recognising his name in the draw. This is to protect their book liability. He’s also struggled physically over recent months.

Carlos Alcaraz: Probable Favourite

Another player producing some highs and lows over the past few months. He’s likely to be graded as the favourite for this year’s Indian Wells Open. Is this justified? Given the omission of Jannik Sinner the answer is probably yes but the remainder of the draw is strong.

Bullish Case: At his best he’s hard to beat. Arguably on another level even versus Sinner and Djokovic playing at their current peak. He has the ability but will he execute. As always focus on price not sentiment. Look for odds that suggest value. Perhaps if he drifts after a weak first round performance that he scrapes through.

Bearish Case: Multiple losses to opponents who he should be beating even when below his best. To win an event like Indian Wells requires consistency. He hasn’t played for a few weeks.

Jack Draper: Conditions Warning

The young Brit has shown great promise over the past 12 months with some superb victories. However a persistent negative theme has been his inability to deal with the physical challenges that elite tennis presents. The fact Indian Wells is located in the Palm desert is unlikely to help with this although of course it is only the three set format.

Bullish Case: The aforementioned lack of physical resilience is unlikely to have escaped the notice of his team. Hopefully steps have been taken to improve this or at least manage the impact more effectively to mitigate adverse outcomes. He has the ability to beat everyone in the draw however significant odds would be needed to factor for the extreme volatility.

Bearish Case: Even if he produces his best; various other key contenders in the draw will need to be a level below theirs for the Brit to prevail. Again it all comes down to price. Odds in the double digits could appeal.

Tennis Picks for ATP Indian Wells

2-3 bets per week with historical yield in excess of 14.00% – View Full History

Synopsis: A private betting club where members receive regular betting picks direct to their email inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks around 6 hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.

Odds sourced from Bet365 as they are the most used betting portal worldwide. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.

✅ WON @ 2.63 | Droguet to beat Griekspoor | ATP Montpellier

How much profit have the picks made overall?


As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.

Tennis tips uk betting profit chart

How do you profit from tennis betting?

There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.

I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?

Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.

What about responsible gambling?

All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.

Do I need to be in the United Kingdom (UK) to join the private betting club?

No. Tennis Tips UK are based and operated by a team in England, hence the name, however we have clients from all over the world in the club. The membership fee is paid in GBP (£) in most cases however our checkout page has a feature called ‘adaptive pricing’ that should let you pay in your local currency such as USD ($) or Euros (€). It’s also possible to pay in British Pounds and let your payment method convert automatically although this may be subject to a modest FX fee.

Am I locked in or committed long term?

No all subscribers can access this customer portal after joining. It allows you to cancel your club subscription without any need for input from Tennis Tips UK. Please note in this situation your membership will be terminated at the end of the current billing period. You’ll continue to receive picks for the period paid for but no further payments will be charged. Membership places in the club are limited and your reserved place will be released for someone else in the situation described above.

How will it work after joining?

Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get one month of access per payment. You should expect one or two club exclusive pick(s) per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals.

Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.

Is club membership limited?

Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.

What bankroll is required?

We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. Some members have vastly exceeded the stated profits by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.

What type of bets should I expect?

Always match winner (moneyline) bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. Minimum odds 2.00 but the average is around 5.00. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time around six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.

Who is the club open to?

Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global. Please note while the default currency is pounds – the sign up page also permits dollars or euros. These should be presented as an option or automatically switched based on your location. It’s also possible to pay in other currencies using the exchange rate for that day.

How do you ascertain if a tennis betting market presents value?

Since 2013 we have actively built, deployed, maintained and optimised a tennis betting data model. This serves as the foundation of our team’s analysis. We don’t rely on it entirely but it gives a reliable indication as to where the price for a specific player should be. Significant discrepancies between this and actual live market prices across bookmakers and exchanges often flag our attention for further research. The image below shows an old version of our model. We prefer to keep the current iteration private to protect our edge.

Tennis Tips UK Picks

Will club bets always win?

No. When a specific bet is advised our team are stating there is value in the quoted odds. In other words the true probability of that outcome is higher than the implied figure derived from market odds. Long term backing these bets consistently will deliver considerable profit as our results illustrate. However members should be prepared to lose successive bets frequently as the club focuses on significant underdogs. Sometimes a large percentage of annual returns can come from a single selection.

This is one of the key reasons that the club is now so focused on long term members and making that clear upfront. It was very frustrating to see some join for just a few weeks, lose bets then leave. This benefits nobody. New members should adopt a disciplined bankroll management strategy. The most common is simply staking 1% total bankroll per match. If a handful of consecutive losses would cause terminal bankroll damage then stakes need reducing.

How is club performance recorded?

For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.

For all bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes confirmation of the match result and odds proof.

Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?

We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.

Why join the club?

It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.