| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +138.20 | 35.40 | 33.80 | 4.99 | £13,820 from backing every selection as of March 2026 |
Source: Pablo Carreno-Busta via Facebook.
A look through the Grand Slam winners for the past decade would indicate that there is little to be gained from looking for outside outright bets. Realistically, the best outside bet has been which of the Big Four is at the longest odds for that particular tournament. Yet the Big Four are presumably not going to be around forever, so it is a case of being prepared and spotting value for a new player to claim their first title. The only winners in recent years that could have been considered true shock winners have both come at the US Open, with Juan Martin Del Potro in 2009 and Marin Cilic in 2014 upsetting the odds to claim their first Grand Slam title.
Those Grand Slam titles remain their only success at that level. It would be unwise to suggest that these two are destined to remain one-time Slam winners; Del Potro has all of the game required but has been blighted by injuries, while Cilic has gone on to reach two more Slam finals. Yet if there is going to be a completely left-field winner at a Grand Slam, the achievements of Del Potro and Cilic suggest that the US Open is the most likely to yield such an event.
A look at last year’s US Open supports this hypothesis, providing a relatively unlikely semi-final line-up. Eventual winner Rafael Nadal powered past a resurgent Del Potro in one semi-final, The other semi-final witnessed two players breaking new ground, with Kevin Anderson prevailing against Pablo Carreno Busta. Anderson was unable to provide a stern resistance to Nadal in his debut Slam final, but Nadal was thoroughly impressive throughout the tournament.
Anderson has since reached a Wimbledon final in defiance of suggestions that his US Open was a flash in the pan, but Carreno Busta has understandably struggled to reach the same level as he did at Flushing Meadows last year. It is not natural to see a semi-finalist from the previous year to be considered a rank outsider to repeat his showing, but a look at tennis betting with bet365 finds Carreno Busta 150/1 to win two more matches than he did at the US Open last year to claim a title. That price for a player who has shown recent form at the tournament is incredibly generous.
Source: ATP World Tour via Facebook.
It is extremely audacious to assert that Carreno Busta is definitely going to win the US Open; the Spaniard’s patient style of play can help him grind out wins, but it is not the type of play that causes the best players on tour too many headaches. Carreno Busta has remained just outside the top ten in the rankings this year, predominantly because of those ranking points accumulated at the US Open, but he has not enjoyed a prosperous year. He lost as heavy favourites against Marco Cecchinato and Radu Albot at the French Open and Wimbledon respectively, and came back from the South American clay-court swing with little to show for it.
Yet he did deliver semi-final showings at Barcelona and Miami, while his Australian Open campaign only ended in a hard-fought encounter with Cilic. Carreno Busta didn’t drop a single set on his way to the US Open semi-final last year, with his 7-6 7-6 7-6 win over the red-hot Denis Shapovalov a testament to his clutch playing in big points. Carreno Busta’s style of play may see him go under the radar, but there is no reason at the US Open for him to be twice the price of injured players such as Tomas Berdych and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga or of currently hopeless players such as Jack Sock. Carreno Busta has shown that he can thrive at the US Open, and he remains underappreciated by markets and pundits alike. This makes him worth considering when seeking value at the final Grand Slam of 2018.
TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: A private betting club where members receive regular betting picks direct to their email inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks around 6 hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Bet365 as they are the most used betting portal worldwide. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Do I need to be in the United Kingdom (UK) to join the private betting club?No. Tennis Tips UK are based and operated by a team in England, hence the name, however we have clients from all over the world in the club. The membership fee is paid in GBP (£) in most cases however our checkout page has a feature called ‘adaptive pricing’ that should let you pay in your local currency such as USD ($) or Euros (€). It’s also possible to pay in British Pounds and let your payment method convert automatically although this may be subject to a modest FX fee.
Am I locked in or committed long term?No all subscribers can access this customer portal after joining. It allows you to cancel your club subscription without any need for input from Tennis Tips UK. Please note in this situation your membership will be terminated at the end of the current billing period. You’ll continue to receive picks for the period paid for but no further payments will be charged. Membership places in the club are limited and your reserved place will be released for someone else in the situation described above.
How will it work after joining?Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get one month of access per payment. You should expect one or two club exclusive pick(s) per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals.
Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.Is club membership limited?Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. Some members have vastly exceeded the stated profits by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?Always match winner (moneyline) bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. Minimum odds 2.00 but the average is around 5.00. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time around six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global. Please note while the default currency is pounds – the sign up page also permits dollars or euros. These should be presented as an option or automatically switched based on your location. It’s also possible to pay in other currencies using the exchange rate for that day.
How do you ascertain if a tennis betting market presents value?Since 2013 we have actively built, deployed, maintained and optimised a tennis betting data model. This serves as the foundation of our team’s analysis. We don’t rely on it entirely but it gives a reliable indication as to where the price for a specific player should be. Significant discrepancies between this and actual live market prices across bookmakers and exchanges often flag our attention for further research. The image below shows an old version of our model. We prefer to keep the current iteration private to protect our edge.
Will club bets always win?No. When a specific bet is advised our team are stating there is value in the quoted odds. In other words the true probability of that outcome is higher than the implied figure derived from market odds. Long term backing these bets consistently will deliver considerable profit as our results illustrate. However members should be prepared to lose successive bets frequently as the club focuses on significant underdogs. Sometimes a large percentage of annual returns can come from a single selection.
This is one of the key reasons that the club is now so focused on long term members and making that clear upfront. It was very frustrating to see some join for just a few weeks, lose bets then leave. This benefits nobody. New members should adopt a disciplined bankroll management strategy. The most common is simply staking 1% total bankroll per match. If a handful of consecutive losses would cause terminal bankroll damage then stakes need reducing.How is club performance recorded?For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For all bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes confirmation of the match result and odds proof.Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.













