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✅ WON @ 9.20 (+820) – A Bublik (beat J Sinner) – Thu 19 Jan 2025 – Club P/L Report
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✅ WON @ 2.34 – Z Bergs – ATP Hertongenbosch – Club P/L Report for Saturday 14th June 2025
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✅ WON @ 2.52 – C Moutet (ATP Rome) – Club P/L Report – Tennis Betting Tips for Friday 9th May 2025
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Source: Pablo Carreno-Busta via Facebook.
A look through the Grand Slam winners for the past decade would indicate that there is little to be gained from looking for outside outright bets. Realistically, the best outside bet has been which of the Big Four is at the longest odds for that particular tournament. Yet the Big Four are presumably not going to be around forever, so it is a case of being prepared and spotting value for a new player to claim their first title. The only winners in recent years that could have been considered true shock winners have both come at the US Open, with Juan Martin Del Potro in 2009 and Marin Cilic in 2014 upsetting the odds to claim their first Grand Slam title.
Those Grand Slam titles remain their only success at that level. It would be unwise to suggest that these two are destined to remain one-time Slam winners; Del Potro has all of the game required but has been blighted by injuries, while Cilic has gone on to reach two more Slam finals. Yet if there is going to be a completely left-field winner at a Grand Slam, the achievements of Del Potro and Cilic suggest that the US Open is the most likely to yield such an event.
A look at last year’s US Open supports this hypothesis, providing a relatively unlikely semi-final line-up. Eventual winner Rafael Nadal powered past a resurgent Del Potro in one semi-final, The other semi-final witnessed two players breaking new ground, with Kevin Anderson prevailing against Pablo Carreno Busta. Anderson was unable to provide a stern resistance to Nadal in his debut Slam final, but Nadal was thoroughly impressive throughout the tournament.
Anderson has since reached a Wimbledon final in defiance of suggestions that his US Open was a flash in the pan, but Carreno Busta has understandably struggled to reach the same level as he did at Flushing Meadows last year. It is not natural to see a semi-finalist from the previous year to be considered a rank outsider to repeat his showing, but a look at tennis betting with bet365 finds Carreno Busta 150/1 to win two more matches than he did at the US Open last year to claim a title. That price for a player who has shown recent form at the tournament is incredibly generous.
Source: ATP World Tour via Facebook.
It is extremely audacious to assert that Carreno Busta is definitely going to win the US Open; the Spaniard’s patient style of play can help him grind out wins, but it is not the type of play that causes the best players on tour too many headaches. Carreno Busta has remained just outside the top ten in the rankings this year, predominantly because of those ranking points accumulated at the US Open, but he has not enjoyed a prosperous year. He lost as heavy favourites against Marco Cecchinato and Radu Albot at the French Open and Wimbledon respectively, and came back from the South American clay-court swing with little to show for it.
Yet he did deliver semi-final showings at Barcelona and Miami, while his Australian Open campaign only ended in a hard-fought encounter with Cilic. Carreno Busta didn’t drop a single set on his way to the US Open semi-final last year, with his 7-6 7-6 7-6 win over the red-hot Denis Shapovalov a testament to his clutch playing in big points. Carreno Busta’s style of play may see him go under the radar, but there is no reason at the US Open for him to be twice the price of injured players such as Tomas Berdych and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga or of currently hopeless players such as Jack Sock. Carreno Busta has shown that he can thrive at the US Open, and he remains underappreciated by markets and pundits alike. This makes him worth considering when seeking value at the final Grand Slam of 2018.
What is the purpose of club membership?
Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.
Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?
Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.
How will it work after joining?
Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.
Is club membership limited?
Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?
We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?
Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?
Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.
How is profit tracked?
For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.
Who picks the bets for club members?
Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.
Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?
We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?
The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.
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