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The Australian Open women’s final is the highlight today. Simona Halep and Caroline Wozniacki will battle it out for their first grand slam title. The mens final is scheduled for Sunday the team will take a look today at any projected significant pre-match market movements that could present an opportunity over the coming hours and give updates via social media.
About Tennis Trading Preview’s from Tennis Tips UK
In this article a small trading team based in the UK provide their analysis and recommendations for the ATP, WTA & Challenger action scheduled for the day ahead. Normally the focus will be on a single match for the main trade but there will occasionally be a higher volume of matches if they present solid trading options. The team trade tennis markets full time and use it as their primary income source. To be clear this is for individuals trading markets using exchanges (i.e BETDAQ, Smarkets, Matchbook & Betfair) with the goal of profiting from market movements pre-match and/or trading specific events or periods in the match. This differs from traditional sports betting in that the final outcome is almost always irelevant. It’s the market movements and odds fluctuations that present the opportunity traders desire. For those new to this concept the ‘Tennis Trading Guide‘ is highly recommended as it gives an overview of basic strategies, the tools and resources needed to trade succesfully and how to gain an edge. Always start with low risk / liability trades when learning how to trade markets or when experimenting with new techniques.
Focus Match: Halep v Wozniacki
The following match preview was provided by the Tennis Tips UK trading team. Odds, statistics and external data was correct as of the original time of publication. Always verify details directly using exchanges prior to trading.
Synopsis: As of the publication time (03:05AM) Halep is trading at 1.73 in the match winner market which implies a win probability of 57.80%. Her opponent, Wozniacki, has 2.36 available to be matched with relatively high liquidity. In terms of pre-match odds movements – the price for Halep would be expected to shorten slightly towards the morning as the market sides with the favorite but this move may be marginal. Little opportunity for pre-match profit.
Key Trading Points: First Game (Break of Serve), First Set Winner (Lay Match Winner Market), High Total Games
Recommended Market Entry & Exit Points: Both players have relatively weak serve metrics and stellar ratings when returning looking at their performances this week and longer term. This makes the first game an interesting time to enter the market. Not only is there the weak service attainment but also the fact it takes time to find rythmn on serve and with it being a grand slam final could mean a nervous opening despite both players experience. The returner will have an edge if this does materialise.
Depending on who serves first – laying that player in the match winner market could prove profitable for a quick exit either after a few points or if/once a break occurs for those looking for a higher variance trade. The match winner price would shorten significantly if either player scored a break in the opening game. Perhaps more than it should considering the high number of projected breaks during the match.
If the server does hold in the opening game then the trade should be closed for a small loss (as the price is unlikely to drift considerably). The next opportunity will be after the first set result is confirmed.
Both Wozniacki and Halep have strong W1/L2 metrics. This refers to their probability of losing the first set after winning the first. This makes ‘laying’ the first set winner at the start of the second appealing. If they can hold serve and/or gain a break the trade should be closed for a profit.
Wozniacki v Halep Trading – Market Overview – Exchange for Australian Open 2018 Final
Tennis Tips UK Club – Results Synopsis – Updated December 2024
TENNIS TIPS UK CLUB MEMBERSHIP – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is no subscription so simply stay as long as you want. The number of members is capped so sometimes a waiting list is activated. All advisory of this type is exclusive to paid members.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below.
How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.How can I get access?Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
Looking to join the club? – 8/10 Places Reserved
Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.
Full access to all picks is reserved to a maximum of 10 club members. There is an option to purchase 1 month membership with no recurring payment or subscription element. Many payment methods are accepted including PayPal. This link will only remain active when places are available so if this is inactive please contact our team instead and request to be added to the waiting list.
Club membership is designed for those looking to profit from tennis markets over the long term. Having access to exchange and bookmakers without account limits is preferable. Bankroll management and discipline are both essential. Please do not consider the club if looking for short term gains and stick to the principles of responsible gambling regardless.
