As a leading resource for all things related to tennis betting – Tennis Tips UK have obsessed over finding the best methods to profit long term for many years. The secret? An ability to identify value markets and crucially combine this with disciplined bankroll management. This guide will be an introduction to educate punters looking to find a legitimate way of profiting long term through tennis betting markets. Who provides the best men’s ATP tennis betting tips, picks and predictions?
Let’s get started and learn ‘How to Identify Profitable Tennis Tipsters’ – AKA the needle in the haystack. Which service provides the best Tennis Betting Tips for ATP & Grand Slam events? This conclusion is derived from various evaluation metrics including closing line theory and drawdown parameters. Tennis TipsUK analysts look beyond the typical ROI, strike rate and units profit to project how probable future profitability will be not just what has been achieved in the past which could have been obtained through luck alone. It all boils down to a simple question – who’s tennis betting tips will perform the best long term?
Tennis Tips UK frequently gather feedback on tipster services from our thousands of subscribers. To be honest most of it focuses on the ever growing list of services to avoid but occasionally there are some that stand out for the right reasons. As always with new tipster services approach with caution and consider using conservative wagers initially to see results first hand before committing.
The theory behind our ATP tennis betting tips service and how our analysts consistently beat the market odds across bookmakers and exchanges.
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Our team have an extensive review process to scrutinise services in granular detail. Factors considered include profit achieved, maximum drawdown, attainability of odds and reasoning. All this culminates into a ranking of the top tennis tipsters overall. To request a tipster review or make a recommendation please contact our team.
Best Tennis Tipsters – How to find Tennis Tipsters that will actually deliver profit long term through researched ATP betting predictions that can be easily followed.
Verified Record & Tracking – Beating SP?
Look for a long term (6 months or longer) record. It’s not just a case of looking at how many bets won or lost. Focus on whether the tipster in question was able to beat what is referred to as the ‘Start Price’. This is a term mostly associated with horse racing but it applies to tennis betting also. In a nutshell, the odds/price advised by the tipster needs to be above that at sharp bookmakers and exchanges when the match begins. This is because the final odds have a significant correlation with true probability of that outcome. So beating it will mean those bets deliver profit long term over a large sample size. Accurately predicting tennis results is a challenging endeavour so always approach services claiming to have achieved this with a healthy dose of skepticism.
Example of +EV Selection
Tipster A suggests backing ‘Player A” to beat ‘Player B’ at Wimbledon. The available price at the time of advisory was 10/11 (1.91). Many hours later the players arrive on court. The odds for this selection have now shortened to just 4/6 (1.66) at Pinnacle and roughly the same across exchanges (i.e Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook). What does this mean? This was a solid selection from the tipster.
Odds Availability, Timing of Emails & Pricing
There is quite a lot to cover in this section but let’s start with how obtainable the quoted prices are. Tipsters who suggest backing a price that may indeed by good value but is only available at a single bookmaker is going to be a challenge to follow as a client in the real world.
Did you know there is a tipster network that requires all services to quote odds with availability at a minimum of three different bookmakers. This was to make the results stated more realistic to obtain. Their service focuses more on horse racing and football as opposed to the ATP betting tips our team provide insight for.
Does the tipster send selections randomly or at a fixed time each day. This is often overlooked but crucial. The pricing of the service also has a significant impact on projected long term return on investment (ROI). ATP betting picks offer the most value when exchange and bookmaker liquidity is highest which is typically a few hours before the match start time.
Match Fixing & Courtsiding
There are dubious tipster services that will make farfetched claims regarding their edge. Although match fixing and courtsiding does occur as Tennis Tips UK have verified with bookmakers directly and was indeed demonstrated in detail within the BBC documentary ‘Can you beat the bookies?’ – services offering these are highly likely to be scam operations. Stay well clear and focus on those offering long term verified records without the outlandish claims.
Watch live football results come in to see examples of suspicious activity exist across the full spectrum of sport. However tennis can be an especially common target due to the need to only corrupt an individual as opposed to a team.
Bankroll Management – The Key to Benefiting from Profitable Tennis Tipsters offering insightful ATP betting predictions
Choosing the correct bets is only part of the puzzle. Managing your betting bank is absolutely crucial. Tennis Tips UK recommend betting a fixed percentage of total available funds. This will allow punters to scale over time and build gradually. Remember to follow the principles of responsible gambling when following tipsters. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Many novice punters focus on surface level data and facts to inform their betting. These are typically just a distraction from what really matters – the price/odds obtained and it’s relationship to the true probability of that outcome. In other words the actual chance of an outcome occurring needs to be higher than the implied probability calculated from the odds. Don’t forget to factor in the bookmaker edge. Nevertheless – let’s take a look at some frequented quotes statistics and analyse if they present any meaningful value to prospective punters.
Odds to probability calculator example for a player priced at evens.
Head to Head (H2H)
This can be relevant in the sense that it can show a trend of how one player has a particular style that counters the other. It’s vital to have filter criteria however – many punters put relevance on matches that happened many years in the past. Look for similarities to the scheduled match such as the same court surface, conditions and close proximity to the prior encounter.
Player Form i.e Win/Loss Ratio
Certain players have good records at specific events and on different surfaces so there can be relevance to the outcome. These factors are normally priced in to the odds already however. As a general rule focus on the latest data that is from recent matches. Don’t give too much weighting to long term attainment. For example injury concerns are far more relevant to the outcome than what happened at this the same event a decade ago.
Why can’t I just blindly follow the tipster advisory?
Understanding the factors that are relevant to profitable sports betting allows punters to weed out tipsters that don’t understand the key concept themselves. For example a tennis tipster obsessing over head to head records could be a red flag. Look for services that focus on price almost exclusively. Read our detailed review for the top tennis tipster 2023.
It’s easy to focus exclusively on the good stuff (e.g profit and yield) but understanding how tipsters deal with the bad is just as important. Losses are going to happen – probably frequently. It’s part of the process and looking at results to identify how sharp these downward swings seem to be will help with bankroll management. As a general rule services with high volatility – look for deep troughs on charts – should be approached with more conservative stakes per selection.
Tipster Chart Example: The overall trend is positive but there are significant periods of drawdown from peaks. Members without disciplined bankroll management could be wiped out during these periods. Source: ‘Rolling Aces’ via Betting Gods.
External Reviews & Tipster Reputation
First hand verification is always best but a little research prior to signing up to any service is advised. Resources such as Trustpilot, Feefo and Google Reviews are reputable places to start this process. Look for verified customers who have tried services over an extended period.
Analysing Tennis Tipster Services
Strike Rate
Profit
ROI
Odds Availability
Time Established
Definition: The percentage of winning bets from all those advised by a tipster service. e.g 50% strike rate means 1 in 2 bets have won from the sample size recorded.
Definition: Total amount of profit achieved often displayed in a monetary figure or as units. It’s important to check for a gradual accumulation of profit for stability.
Definition: Return on Investment (ROI) is the profit achieved in ratio with the total staked.
Definition: Are the tipsters odds quoted realistically attainable.
Definition: The length of time that a tipster service has been in operation.
Relevance: Many customers like to win frequently. Clearly other statistics are more important but a low strike rate can make following challenging with extensive drawdown.
Relevance: Important with flat staking over a large sample size. It illustrates what the tipster’s edge can generate in terms of real world gains I’ve time.
Relevance: Profit can be manipulated with large staking but ROI is a fairer metric.
Relevance: Quoting odds from a single bookmaker make it hard to actually replicate results recorded.
Relevance: Over a small sample size results can be misleading. A tipster service that has delivered sustained results over many years deserves far more respect.
Looking at a diverse range of statistics can help build a complete picture of a top tennis tipster service.
Key Takeaway – Gold Standard Tennis Tipsters
A competent tennis tipster will clearly define the odds advised and the minimum price at which a selection is no longer offering value. Stating ‘I think Player A will win because Player B will be tired’ is a red flag. Look for reasoning like ‘At a price of 6/4 (2.50) Player A offers value as I have calculated they have a 51% win probability. Don’t take any odds below 1/1 (2.00)’. Not all profit is equal consider drawdown and long term consistency. Profiting from ATP tennis betting tips requires discipline.
Tennis Tips UK Review Analyst
Focus on ATP, WTA, Challenger or ITF Events
A tennis tipster focusing on a specific tier of tennis often indicates they have knowledge and insight. Whilst a broader approach can work – finding value is challenging and a niche focus can be good. Remember that many bookmakers will apply account restrictions for profitable punters so if you do indeed locate a profitable tennis tipster service then look to utilise betting exchange liquidity. Read more about the differences between the tiers of tennis in our dedicated guide. ATP tennis predictions can often prove the most profitable due to more predictable factors and less volatility versus the WTA tour level events.
Settlement Rules – Player Injury & Retirement that apply to ATP tennis betting tips
It’s important to research what settlement rules the selected tennis tipster will apply. These can make a big difference to results long term and it’s important to reduce the deviation between tipster and follower results as much as possible. The most common (and in our view, fair) rule is to void all bets if the first set is not completed and to award the progressing player the match of beyond this point.
InfographicSynopsis of Tennis Betting Rules – When joining a tipster service look for a clear grading rule for injuries and retirements. They happen more frequently than you may think.
What makes a ‘Profitable Tennis Tipster’?
Discipline and an approach that can identity value markets. Bankroll management is key as stated before. Both the tipster and customers should take a long term investment approach looking for gradual appreciation. Remember a good bet can lose and a bad bet can win. e.g Tennis Tipster advises backing Player A to beat Player B at odds of 2.00 – that player wins. However if the true probability of that outcome was just 30% then those selections repeated over a larger sample size will hit your bankroll hard. It’s a good idea to maximise the use of bookmaker promotions such as tennis free bets to enhance returns.
Do Tennis Tips UK offer ATP betting picks?
Founded in 2013. That’s over a decade ago – how time flies. In that time we’ve offered tipster services ourself and vetted hundreds of individual external tipsters covering tennis specifically. Over time we have developed a unique approach. We’ve been fortunate enough to meet and interact with many exceptional bettors and many of those have now joined our community. In essence this is a small club comprising of tipsters and subscribers. Everyone gets access to all selections to follow. The tipsters with the highest attainment for a specific month receive all subscription revenue. That’s their incentive to share value bets they identify. Find out more via the button at the footer of this page.
There is a point at which odds offer value for every market
Never trust a tipsters claims without third party verification
Always focus on value not opinions or loyalty towards players
Why ATP tennis betting tips?
Volatility is not a friend when it comes to tennis betting. Predictable players make it easier to focus on variables that can deliver an edge. Historically ATP tennis betting picks have delivered this versus alternatives such as the WTA and challenger events.
Synopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is no subscription so simply stay as long as you want. The number of members is capped so sometimes a waiting list is activated. All advisory of this type is exclusive to paid members.
Who picks the advised bets?
Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below.
How much profit have the picks made overall?
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.
How can I get access?
Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
Do you offer any FREE TENNIS BETTING TIPS?
Club members receive an average of 2-3 bets per week. Occasionally one of these selections is published free of charge for email subscribers over on the free picks page.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?
There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.
Full access to all picks is reserved to a maximum of 10 club members. There is an option to purchase 1 month membership with no recurring payment or subscription element. Many payment methods are accepted including PayPal. This link will only remain active when places are available so if this is inactive please contact our team instead and request to be added to the waiting list.
Club membership is designed for those looking to profit from tennis markets over the long term. Having access to exchange and bookmakers without account limits is preferable. Bankroll management and discipline are both essential. Please do not consider the club if looking for short term gains and stick to the principles of responsible gambling regardless.