- ❌ LOST @ 3.40 | Tiafoe to beat Zverev | ATP Indian Wells
- ✅ WON @ 3.20 | Michelsen to beat Fritz | ATP Indian Wells
- ❌ LOST @ 5.45 | Walton to beat Tien | ATP Indian Wells
- ❌ LOST @ 3.75 | Merida to beat Michelsen | ATP Indian Wells
- ✅ WON @ 2.17 | Shimabukuro to beat Landaluce | ATP Indian Wells
| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +138.20 | 35.40 | 33.80 | 4.99 | £13,820 from backing every selection as of March 2026 |
Tennis Tips UK have now helped multiple long term club members build bankrolls in excess of £1,000,000 or currency equivalent in €/$ through backing picks with a compounding bankroll plan. In other words betting with a fixed percentage of total bankroll per match so that as your total bankroll grows so does the stake. There are challenges as stakes grow such as bookmaker limits and liquidity issues but we are able to provide solutions in most cases such as by using tools like exchanges, winners welcome bookmakers and betting brokers.
ATP Analysis | Tennis News from Tennis Tips UK
The 2019 season is already underway and the first grand slam event will run from 14-17 January in Melbourne, Australia. Now seems an appropriate time to take a look at the year ahead and crucially who will come out on top overall in terms of the year end official rankings.
Bookmaker Insight: Market Analysis
Ahead of the Australian Open, Serbian Novak Djokovic sits at the number one spot comfortably above the likes of Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer. He enjoyed a highly successful campaign last year after initially struggling with personal and injury issues. He’s the clear favourite to retain this accolade in 2019 and is priced at just 1.50 (1/2) to end the season as number one at most bookmakers offer these markets as of the time of publication.
The initial standout selection from a brief browse of the market above is former world number one and multiple grand slam winner Roger Federer. At 12/1 (13.00) that would suggest the chances of the Swiss maestro ending the year at the number one at around just 7.7%. After the bookmaker margin has been factored in the figure is closed to just 5%.
Roger Federer: How many events will he play?
On the face of it this is highly appealing but delve a little deeper and the reason for this becomes clear. Last season Federer skipped the clay court season entirely and may choose to do the same again this year. His level is still highly competitive and he’s certainly capable of winning all hard and grass court events but it appears he’s adopted a more conservative approach to preserve his career as physically at 37 years old the demands of the body increase significantly. Ultimately only the man himself and his team know the approach he will take.
Due to the way ranking works (points based system) it would be very difficult for Federer to compete with others who play more events and don’t skip parts of the season if he does indeed adopt that approach again.
Djokovic, Nadal & Murray – Tantalizing Trio
As referenced previously; Novak Djokovic is the firm favourite and with good reason following his attainment last year. However he’s shown vulnerability in his game and appears to lack the same consistency as his imperious 2015 year during which he won 93.18% of matches (82-6)
To put that into context his 2018 campaign ended with a win rate of 80.60%. Still highly impressive and enough to end the year as number one but with thirteen losses certainly not invincible. His season has started well this year however he did suffer a three set defeat to Bautista Agut in Doha. The Spaniard produced a superb performance to earn this victory however rather than as a consequence of a low level from Djokovic himself.
Rafael Nadal appears to be dealing with some injury issues after withdrawing from some warm up events but it’s rumoured that he just wants to prepare in the best possible fashion ahead of the Australian Open. In a recent interview he said ‘He feels better than 12 months ago’ so there is cause for optimism there. Injuries seem to be his main obstacle and given his physical style it’s difficult to see him making it through the entire season competing without at least one signficiant issue hampering his chances of the year end number one.
Andy Murray is a signficiant outsider for the year end number one spot and with good reason following lengthy injury issues and very little competitive court time ahead of the Australian Open. The grass court season could yield success but recovery from surgery will take time and it’s probable he will never return to the level seen previously in terms of grand slam attainment.
The Outsiders: Young Guns
Alexander Zverev has long been tipped as the ‘next big thing’ and last season he started to deliver on that – winning the season ending ATP Finals. He has a genuine chance at all grand slam events this year as he continues to develop as a player both mentally and physically.
Khachanov and Thiem have the ability to beat anyone but lack consistency making the year end number one improbable. The Austrian is certainly worth watching closely over the clay court swing however. Particularly Roland Garros.
Who will end 2019 as World Number One?
The smart choice is definitely Novak Djokovic. The current price offers very poor value however. The likes of Alexander Zverev appeal when Murray, Federer and Nadal are struggling relative to their best years.
Player to Watch: Roberto Bautista Agut
He’s already beaten Novak Djokovic and went on to win that event in Doha. He looks to have worked hard in the off-season and looks physically ready to compete over many months. Year end number one markets will be released at a wider range of bookmakers over the coming months and it will be interesting to see the price available for the Spaniard following his performance in Melbourne.
TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: A private betting club where members receive regular betting picks direct to their email inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks around 6 hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Do I need to be in the United Kingdom (UK) to join the private betting club?No. Tennis Tips UK are based and operated by a team in England, hence the name, however we have clients from all over the world in the club. The membership fee is paid in GBP (£) in most cases however our checkout page has a feature called ‘adaptive pricing’ that should let you pay in your local currency such as USD ($) or Euros (€). It’s also possible to pay in British Pounds and let your payment method convert automatically although this may be subject to a modest FX fee.
Am I locked in or committed long term?No all subscribers can access this customer portal after joining. It allows you to cancel your club subscription without any need for input from Tennis Tips UK. Please note in this situation your membership will be terminated at the end of the current billing period. You’ll continue to receive picks for the period paid for but no further payments will be charged. Membership places in the club are limited and your reserved place will be released for someone else in the situation described above.
How will it work after joining?Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get one month of access per payment. You should expect one or two club exclusive pick(s) per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals.
Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.Is club membership limited?Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. Some members have vastly exceeded the stated profits by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?Always match winner (moneyline) bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. Minimum odds 2.00 but the average is around 5.00. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time around six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global. Please note while the default currency is pounds – the sign up page also permits dollars or euros. These should be presented as an option or automatically switched based on your location. It’s also possible to pay in other currencies using the exchange rate for that day.
How do you ascertain if a tennis betting market presents value?Since 2013 we have actively built, deployed, maintained and optimised a tennis betting data model. This serves as the foundation of our team’s analysis. We don’t rely on it entirely but it gives a reliable indication as to where the price for a specific player should be. Significant discrepancies between this and actual live market prices across bookmakers and exchanges often flag our attention for further research. The image below shows an old version of our model. We prefer to keep the current iteration private to protect our edge.
Will club bets always win?No. When a specific bet is advised our team are stating there is value in the quoted odds. In other words the true probability of that outcome is higher than the implied figure derived from market odds. Long term backing these bets consistently will deliver considerable profit as our results illustrate. However members should be prepared to lose successive bets frequently as the club focuses on significant underdogs. Sometimes a large percentage of annual returns can come from a single selection.
This is one of the key reasons that the club is now so focused on long term members and making that clear upfront. It was very frustrating to see some join for just a few weeks, lose bets then leave. This benefits nobody. New members should adopt a disciplined bankroll management strategy. The most common is simply staking 1% total bankroll per match. If a handful of consecutive losses would cause terminal bankroll damage then stakes need reducing.How is club performance recorded?For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For all bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes confirmation of the match result and odds proof.Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.
