The best method to profit backing Novak Djokovic – Researched Tennis Betting Tips

Serbian superstar Novak Djokovic has dominated elite men’s tennis for years and his performances so far in 2023 have revealed nothing to suggest this will change in the short term. So from a tennis betting perspective – just back him blindly and watch the money roll in, right? Not so fast. Bookmakers are well aware of his attainment and the odds reflect this. Consequently even if he wins 90% of all matches – the occasional losses will likely eat up all profit and even put punters in the red overall. In this article we’ll analyse whether there is a solution by looking at The best method to profit backing Novak Djokovic.

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The Problem: Terrible Match Winner Odds

Novak Djokovic Odds – Example from the Australian Open 2023 – Even in the later stages (in this case a semifinal) it’s still common to find the world number five priced around or below 1/10 (1.10). This suggests a win probability of over 90.90% and would require a staggering minimum strike rate to profit long term over a large sample size.

‘Big Name Bias’ – Large Event Betting Volume

For the biggest events in the tennis calendar – money funnels in from punters who don’t normally consider tennis. This is due to media coverage, tournament specific promotions and more recognisable names on sportsbooks. These individuals are highly likely to side with players like Novak Djokovic which further drives down or ‘shortens’ his price. This makes it even more challenging to profit long term.

The Solution: Asian Handicap Markets

Novice punters typically stick with the standard 1×2 match winner market which has been our focus so far in this article. However the range of asian handicap markets are far more likely to offer value. These are available nowadays at almost all bookmakers and exchanges (liquidity could be an issue for the later)