- ❌ LOST @ 11.01 | Tien to beat Sinner | ATP Indian Wells
- ❌ LOST @ 3.40 | Tiafoe to beat Zverev | ATP Indian Wells
- ✅ WON @ 3.20 | Michelsen to beat Fritz | ATP Indian Wells
- ❌ LOST @ 5.45 | Walton to beat Tien | ATP Indian Wells
- ❌ LOST @ 3.75 | Merida to beat Michelsen | ATP Indian Wells
| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +138.20 | 35.40 | 33.80 | 4.99 | £13,820 from backing every selection as of March 2026 |
Three Outside Bets for the 2019 Australian Open

Source: Chung Hyeon via Facebook.
Novak Djokovic ended the 2018 season in imperious fashion, thereby ensuring that he will be a strong favourite for all tournaments in the first half of next year at least. There may be no value on backing Djokovic, but his dominance will increase the prices of old foes Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer. Yet the 2018 Australian Open saw some unlikely candidates progress, so there is scope for picking out players at longer odds in the hope of securing trading opportunities towards the tournament’s business end.
Kyle Edmund
Edmund meets the criteria of an unlikely tournament winner, with the Brit on a clear upward trajectory and a player who has enjoyed his best result in the conditions of Melbourne. Now British number 1 as a result of Andy Murray’s injury troubles, Edmund has thrived under the pressure that the appellation brings. Edmund reached his first two ATP Tour finals in 2018, surprisingly losing in timid fashion in Marrakesh to clay-court specialist Pablo Andujar in April.
That looked like a real opportunity missed for Edmund, but the Brit continued his impressive form to claim the title in Antwerp in October. Edmund will be keenly anticipating a return to Australia, having reached the semi-final last year in impressive fashion. A first-round win over Kevin Anderson, a formidable opponent who would then enjoy his best career season, started a strong run that was ended by Marin Cilic in disappointing fashion. Nobody will underestimate Edmund this time around, but he has shown that he does have the mental fortitude to handle the pressure. At 66/1 or higher, Edmund represents very interesting value.
Chung Hyeon
Another man who enjoyed a breakout tournament at last year’s Australian Open was Chung Hyeon, who retired in the semi-final against Roger Federer. That will not have alleviated concerns of Hyeon’s ability to maintain fitness across the two-week rigours of a Slam, but the manner of his victories beforehand was hugely impressive.
The South Korean would have been forgiven for thinking that his bagelling of fourth seed Alexander Zverev in the decisive fifth set of the third-round tie would be the pinnacle of his Slam. Yet Hyeon continued his fine form to beat Novak Djokovic 7-6 7-5 7-6 in the following round. Few would have expected Hyeon to prevail from that difficult quarter of the draw.
Clutch playing in close sets against the man who would end the year atop the ATP rankings bodes well for Hyeon, who has Australian open 2019 odds of 160 on the Betfair Exchange as of December 6th. That price is much bigger than many players who are past their best, but Hyeon’s best is yet to come.
Juan Martin del Potro

Source: Juan Martin del Potro via Facebook.
Del Potro appears to have put to bed most long-term concerns over his fitness, with 2018 seeing the Argentine claim his first Masters 1000 title in Indian Wells thanks to an impressive win over Roger Federer. Del Potro then reached the US Open final, in which he succumbed to Djokovic in straight sets. Djokovic will be the main obstacle for contenders at the Australian Open, with del Potro having won 4 out of 19 matches against the Serbian star. Two of those wins came in Olympic matches, so the Tower of Tandil has what it takes to upset Djokovic on the biggest stages.
As a Slam winner, del Potro is hardly a huge outsider. However, the Argentine may be underrated by markets due to Djokovic’s dominance. Djokovic has endured some shock Slam results in recent years, so perhaps an early departure could open the door for one of these bigger-priced options to storm through.
TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: A private betting club where members receive regular betting picks direct to their email inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks around 6 hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Bet365 as they are the most used betting portal worldwide. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Do I need to be in the United Kingdom (UK) to join the private betting club?No. Tennis Tips UK are based and operated by a team in England, hence the name, however we have clients from all over the world in the club. The membership fee is paid in GBP (£) in most cases however our checkout page has a feature called ‘adaptive pricing’ that should let you pay in your local currency such as USD ($) or Euros (€). It’s also possible to pay in British Pounds and let your payment method convert automatically although this may be subject to a modest FX fee.
Am I locked in or committed long term?No all subscribers can access this customer portal after joining. It allows you to cancel your club subscription without any need for input from Tennis Tips UK. Please note in this situation your membership will be terminated at the end of the current billing period. You’ll continue to receive picks for the period paid for but no further payments will be charged. Membership places in the club are limited and your reserved place will be released for someone else in the situation described above.
How will it work after joining?Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get one month of access per payment. You should expect one or two club exclusive pick(s) per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals.
Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.Is club membership limited?Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. Some members have vastly exceeded the stated profits by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?Always match winner (moneyline) bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. Minimum odds 2.00 but the average is around 5.00. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time around six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global. Please note while the default currency is pounds – the sign up page also permits dollars or euros. These should be presented as an option or automatically switched based on your location. It’s also possible to pay in other currencies using the exchange rate for that day.
How do you ascertain if a tennis betting market presents value?Since 2013 we have actively built, deployed, maintained and optimised a tennis betting data model. This serves as the foundation of our team’s analysis. We don’t rely on it entirely but it gives a reliable indication as to where the price for a specific player should be. Significant discrepancies between this and actual live market prices across bookmakers and exchanges often flag our attention for further research. The image below shows an old version of our model. We prefer to keep the current iteration private to protect our edge.
Will club bets always win?No. When a specific bet is advised our team are stating there is value in the quoted odds. In other words the true probability of that outcome is higher than the implied figure derived from market odds. Long term backing these bets consistently will deliver considerable profit as our results illustrate. However members should be prepared to lose successive bets frequently as the club focuses on significant underdogs. Sometimes a large percentage of annual returns can come from a single selection.
This is one of the key reasons that the club is now so focused on long term members and making that clear upfront. It was very frustrating to see some join for just a few weeks, lose bets then leave. This benefits nobody. New members should adopt a disciplined bankroll management strategy. The most common is simply staking 1% total bankroll per match. If a handful of consecutive losses would cause terminal bankroll damage then stakes need reducing.How is club performance recorded?For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For all bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes confirmation of the match result and odds proof.Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.











