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Profit (units)Yield (%)Strike Rate (%)Average Odds (Decimal)Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick)
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Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » ATP Monte Carlo 2024 Preview – Tennis Betting Insight

Monte Carlo Masters – Sinner a more likely winner than Djokovic?

The 2024 iteration of one of the tennis calendars most prestigious events is underway. The Monte Carlo Masters always attracts the games biggest names but this year there is the omission of clay court legend Rafael Nadal. However there are plenty of competitors to make up for this including world number one Novak Djokovic and the inform Italian Jannik Sinner fresh from winning multiple titles this year already.

From a tennis betting perspective – where is the value this year at ATP Monte Carlo? As always our analysts have focused their event preview on probability and any discrepancies between this value and the odds on offer across bookmaker and exchanges.

To make this insight as digestible as possible it is prevented in an FAQ (frequently asked questions) format with responses to real questions received from site visitors looking to bet on the Monte Carlo Masters. Tennis Tips UK have published a more general guide on profiting from tennis betting in our resources centre for beginners looking for a more surface level synopsis of how betting markets work.

Table of Contents

ATP Monte Carlo 2024 Tennis Betting Preview

Monte Carlo Masters Preview – FAQ

Is Sinner really more likely to win than world number one Djokovic?

The basis of this theory is that, as of publication, Jannik Sinner is priced at 3.05 on exchanges whereas Novak Djokovic is marginally higher. This is confirmation that the Italian is a more probable winner but not be a significant amount. In terms of probability it’s roughly 32% for the former and 30% for the later. So a winner from the remainder of the draw (which includes stars such as Zverev, Medvedev & Ruud) is approximately 38% which is a more intelligent place to focus is seeking value.

Have Tennis Tips UK historically profited from their advised bets?

The site was founded back in 2013 and has delivered profit each year since. There have been many changes over the years but today there is a single subscription service for the best value bets. Unfortunately membership is limited and all places are currently taken but you are welcome to join our waiting list to receive an invitation should there be a place available in the future.

Is there a key to profiting from tennis betting?

The main ingredient to turn from a recreational punter to a successful bettor is discipline. It’s essential to adopt an investment style approach. Risk a small percentage of total bankroll per match and focus on getting bets placed/matched at a value price.

Have a brief look at the graphic references below. It illustrates the point that over a small number of bets luck is the key even with value bets (due to variance). However if you stay consistent long term and keep backing bets methodically the chances of losing collapse to near zero. It’s a virtual certainty you’ll be in profit as the odds work in your favour.

Never back a single pick NEEDING it to win. Of course you will WANT it to win but these are two very different things. Risk a small amount per match as anything can happen over a few sets. Have faith that value bets will deliver long term and manage bankroll responsibly.

To show Probability of overall loss from tennis betting graphic decreases over time

Is ATP Monte Carlo a fast surface speed?

In the wider context of tennis overall its slow as a consequence of the fact its a clay court. This typically means longer average points and a proclivity towards favourites persevering. In terms of the Monte Carlo Masters surface compared to other events on the ‘red dirt’ data suggests its marginally faster. Still the thesis of steering clear of underdogs stands firm in our analysts view.

TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works

Synopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.

Who picks the advised bets?

Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.

Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.

Club member email

How much profit have the picks made overall?


As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.

Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.

Tennis tips uk betting profit chart

How do you profit from tennis betting?

There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.

I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?

Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.

What about responsible gambling?

All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.

Why join the club?

It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.

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