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- ❌ LOST @ 5.76 | Zverev to beat Alcaraz | Australian Open
- ❌ LOST @ 10.35 | Shelton to beat Sinner | Australian Open
- ❌ LOST @ 2.84 | Tien to beat Zverev | Australian Open
- ✅ WON @ 2.89 | Tien to beat Medvedev | Australian Open
- ❌ LOST @ 2.58 | Tsitsipas to beat Machac | Australian Open
- ❌ LOST @ 7.09 | Faria to beat Rublev | Australian Open
| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +126.20 | 33.80 | 33.30 | 5.05 | £12,620 from backing every selection as of January 2026 |
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This first round encounter scheduled for Wednesday 19/10/2022 features the ever entertaining Fabio Fognini against rising star Hugo Grenier at the ‘Tennis Napoli Cup’. Let’s delve into the probability and see if there are any discrepancies with what the market currently offers in terms of odds with our Fognini vs Grenier Tips.
Sharp bookmakers opened the line for Hugo Grenier at around 2.05-2.07 but this soon shortened to less than evens following a flurry of backing from punters. While this can be a good indicator its worth remembering limits are kept low at this stage and most sharp bettors wait until nearer the scheduled start time when there is a full information profile available along with higher limits. Tools used for these calculations – Odds to Probability Converter – No Vig Fair Odds Generator. These are free and valuable resources.
The bookmaker offering the highest overall payout rate is 10Bet at 97.50% which is relatively poor. Exchanges have decent liquidity already and this should improve further as the start time approaches. Customers seem to be matching bets at around 2.00 for Hugo Grenier at this stage although inevitably the price will swing by a reasonable margin as those with larger bankrolls pile in later.
Recommended Resource: Why Bet on Tennis? / Fognini vs Grenier Odds (Low Margin)
How to Identify Value: Fognini vs Grenier Tips
Tennis Tips UK use a combination of exchange data, sharp bookmaker prices and internal modelling to find value across ATP, WTA & Challenger matches. A synopsis of findings are presented below.
Often following the money can give far greater insight than looking at form metrics. Profitability from tennis betting is about one thing – price (odds). Focus on obtaining the best possible odds that beat those available at the match start time. Achieving this leads to a long term edge.
| Match | Selection | Stake |
|---|---|---|
| F Fognini vs H Grenier (ATP Naples) | 🔐 LOCKED > | 100 units |
TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.
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