This first round encounter scheduled for Wednesday 19/10/2022 features the ever entertaining Fabio Fognini against rising star Hugo Grenier at the ‘Tennis Napoli Cup’. Let’s delve into the probability and see if there are any discrepancies with what the market currently offers in terms of odds with our Fognini vs Grenier Tips.
Sharp bookmakers opened the line for Hugo Grenier at around 2.05-2.07 but this soon shortened to less than evens following a flurry of backing from punters. While this can be a good indicator its worth remembering limits are kept low at this stage and most sharp bettors wait until nearer the scheduled start time when there is a full information profile available along with higher limits. Tools used for these calculations – Odds to Probability Converter – No Vig Fair Odds Generator. These are free and valuable resources.
The bookmaker offering the highest overall payout rate is 10Bet at 97.50% which is relatively poor. Exchanges have decent liquidity already and this should improve further as the start time approaches. Customers seem to be matching bets at around 2.00 for Hugo Grenier at this stage although inevitably the price will swing by a reasonable margin as those with larger bankrolls pile in later.
Recommended Resource: Why Bet on Tennis? / Fognini vs Grenier Odds (Low Margin)
How to Identify Value: Fognini vs Grenier Tips
Tennis Tips UK use a combination of exchange data, sharp bookmaker prices and internal modelling to find value across ATP, WTA & Challenger matches. A synopsis of findings are presented below.
Often following the money can give far greater insight than looking at form metrics. Profitability from tennis betting is about one thing – price (odds). Focus on obtaining the best possible odds that beat those available at the match start time. Achieving this leads to a long term edge.
| Match | Selection | Stake |
|---|---|---|
| F Fognini vs H Grenier (ATP Naples) | 🔐 LOCKED > | 100 units |
TENNIS TIPS UK CLUB MEMBERSHIP – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is no subscription so simply stay as long as you want. The number of members is capped so sometimes a waiting list is activated. All advisory of this type is exclusive to paid members.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below.
How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.How can I get access?Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
Looking to join the club? – 8/10 Places Reserved
Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.
Full access to all picks is reserved to a maximum of 10 club members. There is an option to purchase 1 month membership with no recurring payment or subscription element. Many payment methods are accepted including PayPal. This link will only remain active when places are available so if this is inactive please contact our team instead and request to be added to the waiting list.
Club membership is designed for those looking to profit from tennis markets over the long term. Having access to exchange and bookmakers without account limits is preferable. Bankroll management and discipline are both essential. Please do not consider the club if looking for short term gains and stick to the principles of responsible gambling regardless.
