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There are countless instances of commentators and pundits ‘overhyping’ young talent after a handful of consecutive wins or a fluke victory over a legend of the game. However the furore around 19 year old Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz seems to a rare case of when it’s wholly justified.
He faces a competent opponent in the form of Dusan Lajovic for this third round encounter – yet is given an implied win probability of approximately 96.2% (calculated based on odds 1.04). In this article the Tennis Tips UK analysts consider where the value bets may be for Alcaraz v Lajovic.
Did you know? You can access over 20 profitable tipsters with a single subscription.
Alcaraz: Career Highlights (So Far…)
Carlos Alcaraz is a rising tennis star from Spain who has already achieved many remarkable feats in his young career. Here are some of the highlights of his career so far:
- Youngest ATP 250 semifinalist: In 2020, at the age of 17, Alcaraz became the youngest ATP 250 semifinalist in over a decade when he reached the semis of the Rio Open.
- First ATP Challenger title: In August 2020, Alcaraz won his first ATP Challenger title in Trieste, Italy. He became the fifth-youngest player to win an ATP Challenger title in the Open Era.
- Roland Garros debut: In 2020, Alcaraz made his debut at the French Open and won his first-ever Grand Slam match against Adrian Mannarino in straight sets.
- Australian Open debut: In 2021, Alcaraz made his Australian Open debut and won his first-round match against Botic Van de Zandschulp.
- First ATP final: In February 2021, Alcaraz reached his first ATP final at the Chile Open, where he defeated top seed and world No. 14 Diego Schwartzman in the quarterfinals.
- Top 100 debut: In March 2021, Alcaraz broke into the top 100 of the ATP rankings for the first time. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 38 in October 2021.
- ATP Next Gen Finals: Alcaraz qualified for the ATP Next Gen Finals in 2021, where he reached the semifinals before losing to eventual champion Jannik Sinner.
Overall, Alcaraz’s career may still be in its infancy but has already been marked by consistent success, impressive performances against top players, and a bright future ahead.
How does Dusan Lajovic Compare?
Dusan Lajovic and Carlos Alcaraz are both talented tennis players, but they have different levels of experience and skill sets. Lajovic is a seasoned professional who has been on the ATP tour for many years and has achieved some significant results, including reaching the final of the Monte Carlo Masters in 2019. Alcaraz, on the other hand, is a rising star who is still in the early stages of his career but has already shown a lot of promise with his impressive performances and results.
If the two players were to face each other in a match, it is difficult to predict the outcome with certainty, as it would depend on many factors such as their form, fitness, and strategy. Lajovic is a solid all-around player with a good serve and strong groundstrokes, and he is known for his defensive skills and ability to grind out tough matches. Alcaraz, on the other hand, is a young and dynamic player who is very aggressive on the court and has a powerful forehand and good movement.
In general, Lajovic may have the edge in terms of experience and consistency, while Alcaraz has the potential to produce some spectacular shots and surprise his opponents with his fearless approach. However, it should be noted that tennis is a highly unpredictable sport, and anything can happen on any given day.
Alcaraz v Lajovic Value Bets
- Dusan Lajovic (Match Winner) @ 20.00+
- Over 18.5 (Total Games) @ 2.05+
- Over 2.5 (Total Sets) @ 6.00+
Tennis Tips UK operate an exclusive network of tipsters who currently have a Return on Investment (ROI) in excess of 100% for tracked results. £10 stakes have returned over £270 profit so far. This is from fixed flat staking of a single unit per wager and all odds are sourced from a bookmaker that doesn’t limit winners. Find out more about the community.
What is the TENNIS TIPS UK CLUB?
Subscription service for tennis bettors to receive advisory direct to their inbox. This specifies the match, which bet and the recommended stake. Following these recommended picks has yielded a return in excess of 20% as of early 2024.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently.
How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
How can I get access?Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
Do you offer any FREE PICKS?Unfortunately not as the advisory must be kept private for club subscribers so they can easily obtain the quoted prices. Based on feedback from our community of external services we can recommend these free email betting tips for those with smaller bankrolls.
Club P/L Report: Sunday 21st July
$1000 advised backing Halys to beat Berrettini at odds of 4.30 on Betfair Exchange. Outcome was a straight sets win.
-$1000 and failed to beat closing odds #ATPGstaad
Full P/L Report: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/profit-loss-reports/2024/07/21/sunday-21st-july-club-p-l-report/
Club P/L Report: Friday 19th July
$1000 advised backing Martinez to beat Cerundolo at odds of 3.60 on Betfair Exchange. Outcome was a three set win.
+$3470 after commission deduction but failed to beat closing odds #HamburgOpen
Full P/L Report: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/profit-loss-reports/2024/07/19/friday-19th-july-club-p-l-report/
Club P/L Report: Thursday 18 July
$1000 advised backing Boyer to beat Tung-Lin Wu at odds of 2.06 on Betfair Exchange. Outcome was a three set win for the later.
-$1000 but beat closing odds #ChallengerGranby
Full P/L Report: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/tennis-betting-tips/2024/07/18/thursday-18th-july-club-report/
Club P/L Report: Wednesday 17 July
$1000 advised backing Tirante to beat Rublev at odds of 5.80 on Betfair Exchange. Outcome was a three set win.
+$5560 but failed to beat closing odds #SwedishOpen
Full History & Subscription details: http://tennis-tips.co.uk/profit-history/
Club P/L Report: Tuesday 16 July
+4990 and beat closing odds #ChallengerTour
Subscription details: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/profit-history/
Club P/L Report: Tuesday 16th July 2024
-$1000 and failed to beat closing odds #ATPHamburg
Free Pick for Tuesday 16th July
ATP Hamburg R1
A Fils vs J Munar
J Munar (Match Winner)
1 unit @ 2.50 via Betfair Exchange
Full reasoning: https://tennis-tips.co.uk/free-tips/2024/07/15/free-pick-for-tuesday-16th-july-fils-vs-munar-prediction-for-atp-hamburg-r1-betting-tips/
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