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D Thiem vs D Medvedev Tips for Thursday 27th October
27/10/2022 – The Austrian Dominic Thiem scraped through his previous round encounter showing great mental resilience whilst equally affirming he’s still significantly below his best. Daniil Medvedev is a major step up in terms of opponent quality and his defensive abilities are going to make things tough. Lets take a deep dive into the probability as thats what really counts with our Thiem vs Medvedev Match Preview for the 2022 Erste Bank Open.
Popular Article (10 Minutes) – Betting Exchanges: Why do Bookmakers still dominate the market?
10 Thiem vs Medvedev Match Facts… from Tennis Tips UK
- (1) Dominic Thiem has improved dramatically over recent months but he’s still off his top level. Even at his best Danill Medvedev, particularly considering this court speed, would be a significant challenge.
- (2) Sharp punters (i.e those at low vig bookmakers) like Dominic Thiem at a price of 3/1 (4.00) or just below based on price data and line movements. Exchange prices are currently just above this level as of publication. By the same methodology Daniil Medvedev seems fair value at around 3/10 (1.30).
- (3) Dominic Thiem has a solid record at this event specifically even winning back in 2019.
(4) Dominic Thiem leads the head to head 3-2 overall. Its 2-2 on hard courts. The relevance of this is debatable given the fact both players are at differing levels now.
- (5) Dominic Thiem has a 72% win rate on indoor hard courts so far in 2022.
- (6) Daniil Medvedev has a 66% win rate on indoor hard courts this year. Longer term his performance on the surface is exceptional however (13-3 record in 2021 for example)
- (7) Physically Daniil Medvedev had a much easier time of it in the previous round. His total court in Vienna is much less than Dominic Thiem. This is less prevalent over three sets but still a relevant factor to consider when analysing the overall picture.
- (8) Daniil Medvedev has a play style (defensive) that will make things challenging for Dominic Thiem. Balls will be coming back that wouldn’t be from most other opponents.
- (9) Daniil Medvedev is currently ranked as the world number three. By contrast Dominic Thiem has fallen to way down at 133 following persistent injury issues over recent times.
- (10) Markets have priced the set handicap (-1.5/+1.5 line) at odds suggesting a roughly 50/50 probability. This is where value can be found at a specific price and where we will focus for members today.
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| Match | Selection | Stake |
|---|---|---|
| Thiem vs Medvedev (ATP Vienna) | 🔐 LOCKED > | 100 units |
Tennis Tips UK Club – Results Synopsis – Updated December 2024
TENNIS TIPS UK CLUB MEMBERSHIP – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is no subscription so simply stay as long as you want. The number of members is capped so sometimes a waiting list is activated. All advisory of this type is exclusive to paid members.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below.
How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.How can I get access?Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
Looking to join the club? – 8/10 Places Reserved
Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.
Full access to all picks is reserved to a maximum of 10 club members. There is an option to purchase 1 month membership with no recurring payment or subscription element. Many payment methods are accepted including PayPal. This link will only remain active when places are available so if this is inactive please contact our team instead and request to be added to the waiting list.
Club membership is designed for those looking to profit from tennis markets over the long term. Having access to exchange and bookmakers without account limits is preferable. Bankroll management and discipline are both essential. Please do not consider the club if looking for short term gains and stick to the principles of responsible gambling regardless.
