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WTA Lyon Open 2023 – Tennis Betting Tips
Table of Contents
The Key Contenders – Outright Winner Prediction
WTA Lyon is one of the first scheduled events in 2023 following the Australian Open drama at Melbourne Park. Officially known as the Open 6e Sens Métropole de Lyon – the tournament will feature some of the top talent from the upper echelons of the women’s tour as it’s a WTA 250 event. Tennis Tips UK analysts take a look ahead with a particular focus on the tennis betting opportunities it presents.
Caroline Garcia: 11/5 (3.20) – ‘The Big Name’
The home favourite has a 30% chance of winning this event based on implied probability sourced from bookmaker and exchange odds. The question is – does this accurately reflect reality? She reached the semifinal last year and has beaten many top players over the years. Her results so far this year are also encouraging with a 77.70% match win rate. No question that Caroline Garcia justifies being a favourite but the current odds reflect fair pricing as opposed to value in our view.
Linda Noskova: 10/3 (4.33) – ‘The Data Play’
This is where things get interesting. A less prominent name in women’s tennis but with form metrics that light up any analysts mind. She has a 75% win rate of hard courts this year and has dominated all opponent so far in Lyon with straight sets victories. Prices of 3/1 (4.00) or higher could present value. Women’s tennis is notoriously volatile however so always consider bankroll management and a long term view
Petra Martic: 12/1 (13.00) – ‘The Outsider’
Volatile performance and attainment over recent years but always dangerous on hard courts that play like those in Lyon. At such a large price there could be value with most of the focus on younger, inexperience favourites who are still unproven. If she can progress to the later stages her experience could make the difference.
Tennis Tips UK Analyst Synopsis
Strong form metrics are present for multiple contenders and prices/odds have shortened quickly. Perhaps a look towards more solid, dependable competitors who have drifted to attractive levels could be the wise move here for WTA Lyon 2023 betting.
Robert Fraser, Lead Tennis Betting Analyst
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What is the purpose of club membership?
Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.
Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?
Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.
How will it work after joining?
Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.
Is club membership limited?
Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.
What bankroll is required?
We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.
What type of bets should I expect?
Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.
Who is the club open to?
Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.
How is profit tracked?
For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.
For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.
Who picks the bets for club members?
Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.
Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?
We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.
Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?
The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.
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