Nakashima v Zverev Tips | US Open R16 Betting Pick for Sunday
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The focus for Sunday is the US open R16 encounter Nakashima v Zverev. Who will prevail and make it to the next stage? The main story this week at flushing meadows has been the major upsets but do we think that will be the case again with our Nakashima v Zverev tips?
Nakashima v Zverev Tips for Sun 01 Sep
Odds available as of publication that are quoted in our Nakashima v Zverev tips for the US Open R16 encounter. These are bound to change so our team include ‘minimum value level’ to indicate if the bet is still recommended should the price shorten or drift.
Tennis Tips UK have provided ATP betting tips to subscribers since 2013 with results published via a public spreadsheet showing historical yield, units profit and record beating the sharp closing line.
Will Nakashima pull off the upset against the more reliable Zverev?
The most likely outcome is a win for the German Zverev but in terms of where value lies that’s a very different question. It’s the thesis of Tennis Tips UK analysts that Nakashima should be priced closer to 2.75 indicating a win probability of around 36%. Any odds obtainable above this level will offer value and are worth backing.
Zverev is a big server and solid from the baseline. On paper he should progress in this encounter but his opponent Nakashima is likely to present a stubborn challenge. US hard courts are where he’s mainly progressed through the rankings so far in career including a home town title.
Our prediction for this match is a tight encounter where the American challenges more than the market pricing might suggest. Whether he will edge the encounter overall is certainly dubious but worth backing at the value level (2.75+) or above.
When backing underdogs we often receive messages such as ‘it’s obvious Zverev will win!’ and then when he does further criticism of the advisory. When picks like as suggested it’s not that we think the most likely outcome isn’t a win for the favourite it’s simply a case of seeking value.
In this case we all know the most likely winner is Zverev. The odds suggest the probability of this is around 77%. We think this should be lower than consequently there is value in the opposing market. This value based approach allows profit over the long term through tennis betting markets.
Any odds of 2.75 or above offer value and should be backed in our view. If the price should shorten below this level the market should be avoided and bet not placed.
Zverev vs Nakashima Free Tips…
B Nakashima (Match Winner) @ 3.60 – 1 unit stake
Reasoning: Internal modelling indicates Nakashima win probability in excess of 36.40% meaning there is a significant margin of value in the quoted price even after commission deduction.
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How much profit have the picks made overall?Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.How can I get access?Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
Do you offer any FREE TENNIS BETTING TIPS?Club members receive an average of 2-3 bets per week. Occasionally one of these selections is published free of charge for email subscribers over on the free picks page.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
Looking to join the club? – Reserve Membership Place – 3 Spots Remaining
Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.
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