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Zverev bounced back from a marathon second round encounter with a routine win versus American rising star Michelsen on Saturday. He faces a much tougher opponent (at least on paper) as we progress through to the R16 on this year’s iteration of the Australian Open. Zverev vs Norrie is currently scheduled for Monday, 22 Jan 2024, 00:00 according to the official draw page. This is subject to change based on the duration of the previous matches. In this deep dive Zverev vs Norrie betting guide we’ll take a look at all the main options available for both the adventurous and conversative punter. There is also an extensive Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) section for bettors considering this match specifically. The Tennis Tips UK analysts will also conclude where they think the best betting opportunities lie for this encounter.
Match Winner – Zverev vs Norrie
The primary market that will inevitably attract the highest volume of betting activity is the match winner market also known as the moneyline in some cases. There is a clear a favourite but an underdog victory is far from impossible. Take a look at the infographic below, created by the Tennis Tips UK team.
Based on data from sharp bookmakers and exchanges offering Zverev to win priced in within the 1.25-1.30 range and adjusting to factor in the bookmaker edge. Data correct as of publication and subject to change.
The potential return (in this case from $100 wager) is weak for Zverev but far more appealing for his opponent Norrie. Even risk adjusted it’s still the Brit who is more appealing for the match winner market.
Zverev vs Norrie Betting Guide – Punter FAQ
Will Zverev beat Norrie?
As calculated previously; 75% is the estimated probability of this outcome. Whilst that may sound appealing initially the available odds correlate with this at just 1.30 on average as of publication (odds subject to change). In other words there is limited, if any, value backing Zverev long term.
Can Norrie win despite his odds?
Historically players priced in a similar range to Norrie have actually performed well. This is derived from a large data set and the selection in isolation remains very high volatility. Still given the choice we much prefer the risk to reward ratio offered by Norrie versus his opponent Zverev.
Any insight for the Over/Under Total Games Market?
The over +37.5 total games line is currently where bookmakers think the probability lies at roughly 50/50. This could present value at a price close to EVENS (2.00).
So that concludes our Zverev vs Norrie betting guide. To give a quick synopsis of my main takeaways – as with most grand slam matches the probability and odds available line by efficiently so there is limited value. The price for Brit Norrie has settled in the 3.50-3.80 range which is appealing for a modest stake. If you would like to get a more detailed insight into what we have learnt about tennis betting since our portal was founded in 2013 try our FAQ: Is Tennis Betting Profitable?
Robert, Tennis Tips UK Analyst – Ask me a question (I’ll respond within 24 hours)
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On average there will be 2-3 bets advised per week. This will be either a match winner, asian handicap or over/under total games market that’s accessible via all major bookmakers.
The selections are picked by tipsters (many private individuals who have never offered a public service) that we have discovered and verified since our portal was founded back in 2013. All prediction providers have delivered a sustained ROI in excess of 10%.
We use a simple 1% per selection bankroll management system. The odds quoted are available at multiple bookmakers and exchanges so it’s practical to replicate returns. All advisory is published at least 24 hours before the scheduled start time.
Synopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is no subscription so simply stay as long as you want. The number of members is capped so sometimes a waiting list is activated. All advisory of this type is exclusive to paid members.
Who picks the advised bets?
Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below.
How much profit have the picks made overall?
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform. However there are multiple club members attaining four figure profit sums each month simply by following the advised bets using their bookmaker and exchange accounts.
As of late 2024; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £4230 assuming they backed the quoted price using an exchange with 5% commission deducted. In reality most club members pay a lower rate and as such have a higher profit attainment.
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Club membership is currently open to applications. Subscribers can expect to receive picks most days that the primary tours are active. These will be match winner or games handicap bets priced at 2.00 or above covering ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam matches.
How do you profit from tennis betting?
There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
Are there any third party tipsters you recommend?
There is a tipster network that has received positive comments from most of our members. It’s by no means perfect. There are many tipsters there you should avoid but some offering genuine value. Most rely on bookmaker prices that will limit you quickly though so try and instead focus on the services that quote exchange prices.
Looking to join the club? – 8/10 Places Reserved
Tennis Tips UK provide multiple picks per week specialising in the ATP tour. These are reserved exclusively for club members who receive an email notification containing the picks. The results history of all this advisory is recorded here. Staking £100 per match has yielded a total profit of £4730 as of August 2024. This figure factors in a 5% exchange commission deduction.
Full access to all picks is reserved to a maximum of 10 club members. There is an option to purchase 1 month membership with no recurring payment or subscription element. Many payment methods are accepted including PayPal. This link will only remain active when places are available so if this is inactive please contact our team instead and request to be added to the waiting list.
Club membership is designed for those looking to profit from tennis markets over the long term. Having access to exchange and bookmakers without account limits is preferable. Bankroll management and discipline are both essential. Please do not consider the club if looking for short term gains and stick to the principles of responsible gambling regardless.
Our objective is to consolidate the highest ROI tennis analysts, tipsters and individuals we have discovered & verified over the past decade into a single subscription service. It’s also to educate those looking to understand tennis betting from a profitable perspective.
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