Can I see an example of exactly what I would receive in my inbox as a club member?

This was a real email sent to club members. It may look a little intimidating initially but the selection in bold is the only essential piece of information to profit. We operate a simple staking strategy of 1 unit = 1% total bankroll. Each email consists of the tournament, match, selection, advised stake, minimum odds and projected win probability. This format will always be followed for consistency.

Club email with tennis betting tips for ATP matches

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Home » Free Tips | Tennis Tips UK » ATP Tennis Betting Preview for Wednesday 21 February 2024 – ATP Doha, ATP Rio de Janeiro, ATP Los Cabos tips, predictions, insight for today

ATP Tennis Betting Preview – 21/02/2024

Table of Contents

Looking for the ultimate breakdown of ATP matches scheduled on Wednesday 21 February 2024? Well, your in luck. With action from ATP Rio de Janeiro, ATP Los Cabos and the ATP Qatar Open there are a plethora of tennis betting options. However as always the number of potentially profitable markets is significantly more finite. In this article you can expect insight for the main matches that intrigued our analysts and hints as to where the best betting opportunities may lie. An archive history is available showing all previous daily previews published.

Interested in accessing our very best tennis bets for ATP, Grand Slam & Challenger events? Find out more about our Private Mailing List that has delivered a Return in Investment (ROI) in excess of 100% so far. You just need an email address and bookmaker account to replicate quoted profits – exchanges can also be used if there is sufficient liquidity.

ATP Rio de Janeiro Tips – Wednesday 21/02/2024

Barrios Vera vs Norrie – Defending champion to progress?

Barrios Vera vs Norrie ATP Rio de Janeiro Wednesday 21/02/2024 infographic by tennis tips uk - who will win? probability graphic

Cameron Norrie has a 80.50% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our internal statistical modelling. This is an approach similar to how bookmaker traders collate odds but with a differing view on the significance of certain factors.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.25 or above. As of publication there are multiple bookmakers and exchanges offering prices above this level so there is marginal value present.

On the other hand if wanting to back underdog Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera odds in excess of 5.00 would be required for an expected positive yield. Currently odds available (on average) make up approximately 95% of this level so best avoided. However if there is a significant price drift it could become appealing.

ATP Doha Tips – Wednesday 21/02/2024

Fucsovics vs Bublik – Fireworks Guaranteed

Fucsovics vs Bublik prediction for 21.02.24

Marton Fucsovics has a 58.80% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our calculations.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.71 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average is over 15% above this level so value could be present.

On the other hand if wanting to back his ever entertaining opponent Alexander Bublik odds in excess of 2.50 would be required for an expected positive yield. Currently odds available are well below this level so best avoided if seeking + Positive EV (Expected Value) markets.

ATP Los Cabos – Wednesday 21/02/2024

Kokkinakis vs Evans – Could the erratic Aussie offer value?

Kokkinakis vs Evans Infographic for 21/02/2024 ATP Los Cabos Prediction

Thanasi Kokkinakis has a 55.30% chance of winning this match in either two or three sets based on our calculations.

This would suggest value (+EV) could be obtained with odds of 1.79 or above. As of publication the bookmaker average is over 12% above this level so value could be present. Remember there are many factors that affect the outcome of a single match (some of which are hard to quantify in advance). However value when backed over a large sample size will always deliver profit. That’s why bankroll management is so important and worth exploring the novice punter before placing any real money bets.

Conversely if wanting to back his opponent Daniel Evans odds in excess of 2.25 would be required for an expected positive yield. Current odds for the Englishman are closer to EVENS so aren’t appealing as of publication.

Private Mailing List – Service Details

After spending over a decade trying to gain an edge in the world of tennis betting we have learnt a thing or two. Perhaps more pertinently we have also met a person or two. Today we are proud to have built a team of individuals who have each proven sustained profitability quoting markets and odds that are easily accessible through a large range of bookmakers and exchanges. To access their bets you must be added to the private mailing list. This will distribute all selections direct to your email inbox. This focuses on ATP, Grand Slam and Challenger matches. Members simply need to have a bookmaker account to replicate results.

Tennis Tips UK Premium Chart

Due to popular demand we now track and verify all advised bets sent to subscribers via an external public platform. This documents the exact bets recommended and results in granular detail broken down into profit, yield and ROI.

How to join? Subscribe to the List

ATP Tennis Betting Preview – 21/02/2024 – FAQ

Where do you source tennis betting odds for the featured matches?

Generally we promote the use of exchanges to avoid bookmaker limits and restrictions once you become profitable over the long term. However the main feed of sharp prices which we use to evaluate value comes from this bookmaker as they welcome winners.

Do you have any general tips for profiting from matches today? (Wed 21 Feb 24)

Always focus on value. Don’t let emotion creep into your betting. Let’s take an example. If you back a player priced at 3.00 but their probability of winning was 50% then that is a great margin of value. However it’s still a coin flip as to whether they win or lose. ‘Good bets lose and bad bets win’ – remember that phrase. Focus long term and celebrate getting value not winning or losing individual bets. If you achieve the former profit is inevitable over a large data set (i.e 100+ bets placed)

I have a different question regarding tennis betting in general?

Please contact our team via this form. Typical response time is within 12 hours.

PRIVATE MAILING LIST

2-3 bets per week with a historical yield in excess of 36.50% – View Full History


What is the purpose of club membership?

Most members use the advisory to generate profits via bookmaker and/or exchange accounts. For someone staking £100 per match this has yielded thousands in profit even once the annual membership fee is deducted.

Will bookmakers limit my account(s)?

Most likely, yes. Club bets have a proven track record of value (+ EV) and bookmakers are likely to notice this. Short term you’ll be fine but longer term we suggest using betting exchanges or ‘winners welcome’ bookmakers or brokers. That’s why we always quote and record odds from Betfair Exchange for members as that illustrates profits for those who are limited.

How will it work after joining?

Your membership will be confirmed with a personal welcome email. You’ll get 12 months access from a single payment and there is no auto renewal – we’ll simply ask if you wish to continue after the year has elapsed. You should expect an average of two emails per week detailing the advised selection, match, tournament and odds. Simply login to your betting account and place a wager on the selected market. We only use standard match winner bets, often referred to as the moneyline, so coverage is extensive at virtually all betting portals. Have any questions? Please visit the contact us page. Average response time 24h.

Is club membership limited?

Yes, we allow a maximum of ten members to have an active annual membership at any one time. This is to preserve value and market liquidity. Essentially ensuring it’s practical to obtain the advised odds without them disappearing too quickly.

What bankroll is required?

We suggest £10,000 or more ideally although smaller can work. Most members choose to follow our advice of staking 1% per match. This means it automatically adjusts and scales as the total grows and compounds returns. In the above example; the member would have yielded over £3,000 profit but had to pay the membership fee leaving them with a net profit in excess of £2200. Some members have vastly exceeded this by staking higher amounts but please remember to have a long term focus and ensure capacity for successive losses.

What type of bets should I expect?

Always match winner bets covering men’s professional tennis. This includes ATP events, Challenger and Grand Slams. We specialise in high odds underdogs which have yielded the most considerable profits in extensive back testing. Selections with odds of 10/1 (11.00) are not uncommon. We deliver advisory emails at a consistent time with a minimum of six hours before the scheduled start time to ensure plenty of time to get bets placed.

Who is the club open to?

Everyone with a decent bankroll and a long term outlook. We have members from around the world betting in many different currencies and jurisdictions. Tennis Tips UK are based in the United Kingdom, hence the name, but the club is truly global.

How is profit tracked?

For transparency we operate a public spreadsheet. This shows all key metrics such as units profit, ROI, yield and strike rate. We even monitor the Avg Diff CO % for those statisticians amongst you. In a nutshell this measures the implied value by comparing the advised odds with the sharp closing line. 2% is deducted from all recorded profit figures to simulate exchange commission. Just to clarify bets are only added to the spreadsheet post result confirmation to retain exclusivity of access to paid club members.

For winning bets our team also publish profit reports which feature the original email sent to members for additional tracking and verification purposes. This also includes a rating for that specific prediction which gives an insight into how our strategy is optimised over time.

Who picks the bets for club members?

Tennis Tips UK have grown into a small team over the years. Founded way back in 2013 by an odds compiler at a leading EU bookmaker. Since then joined by a quant and business manager. Each one of us lives and breathes tennis but we like to let our results speak for themselves rather than make outlandish personal claims.

Why don’t you bet on your own picks if they are so good?

We do, frequently. The issue surrounds liquidity and limitations. Club members have access to a wide range of liquidity from global sportsbooks and exchanges. We, as individuals, are far more restricted. Typically though we still stake an average of £10k per week on our selections but unfortunately virtually every bookmaker has long since banned us. We should take it a compliment really as a limitation is an endorsement of the profitability of your bets from an often billion pound institution.

Is there a way to reduce the cost of membership?

The fee is set at a level which allows us to fill membership places. If you are a prospective first time club member enter the promo code ‘TTUK10’ during checkout to reduce the cost. Please note this is a one time discount and not available for returning members.


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