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- ❌ LOST @ 5.76 | Zverev to beat Alcaraz | Australian Open
- ❌ LOST @ 10.35 | Shelton to beat Sinner | Australian Open
- ❌ LOST @ 2.84 | Tien to beat Zverev | Australian Open
- ✅ WON @ 2.89 | Tien to beat Medvedev | Australian Open
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- ❌ LOST @ 7.09 | Faria to beat Rublev | Australian Open
| Profit (units) | Yield (%) | Strike Rate (%) | Average Odds (Decimal) | Illustrative Return (£100 staked per pick) |
| +126.20 | 33.80 | 33.30 | 5.05 | £12,620 from backing every selection as of January 2026 |
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This first round encounter scheduled for Monday 17 October 2022 pits two rising stars against each other at the ‘European Cup’. Let’s delve into the probability and see if there are any discrepancies with what the market currently offers in terms of odds with our Draper vs Brooksby Prediction.
Let’s start by looking at the average prices across major sportsbooks. The American Brooksby is priced at 1.82 in the match winner market indicating a win probability of 51.85%. This puts the Brit’s chances at a projected 48.15% with an average offering of 1.96. Tools used for these calculations – Odds to Probability Converter – No Vig Fair Odds Generator. These are free and valuable resources.
The bookmaker offering the highest overall payout rate is 10Bet at 96.70% which is relatively poor. Exchanges have limited liquidity but this should improve as the start time approaches. However even at this stage it’s clear based on the odds layed that any price above evens for Draper could offer value.
How to Identify Value: Draper vs Brooksby Prediction
Tennis Tips UK use a combination of exchange data, sharp bookmaker prices and internal modelling to find value across ATP, WTA & Challenger matches. A synopsis of findings are presented below.
| Selection | Available Odds | True Odds |
|---|---|---|
| J Draper | 2.06 @ Betfair Exchange | 2.04 (100.98% Payout) |
| J Brooksby | 1.90 @ Smarkets | 1.96 (96.94% Payout) |
| Under 22.5 | 1.95 @ Betway | 1.95 (100.00% Payout) |
TENNIS TIPS UK Club Membership – How it Works
Follow @TennisTipsUKSynopsis: An email service where members receive regular betting picks direct to their inbox. This clearly states the match, specific bet and advised stake. There is a ‘best bet’ which is the highest value selection our team has found across all markets. This is exclusively available through the club membership. Club members should expect to receive 1-2 bets per week on average.
Who picks the advised bets?Tennis Tips UK have a team of analysts built over the past decade. Each has shown a proficiency in beating ATP, Challenger or Grand Slam markets consistently. See an example of the email format members receive below. To make the service more practical to follow we send out picks twelve hours before the scheduled start time on average so it should be feasible to follow regardless of client timezone.
Odds sourced from Pinnacle or Bet365. Match winner (moneyline) markets used so practical to follow with any bookmaker. Those with access to an exchange account are likely to comfortably exceed the recorded profit figures even after commission is deducted so this is highly recommended.How much profit have the picks made overall?
As of late 2025; a £100 bettor has enjoyed profits in excess of £10,000 assuming they backed the quoted price. Please note the image below is updated once annually – see the link below for the most up to date performance figures.
Full tracking is available publicly via a third party verification platform.How do you profit from tennis betting?There is no single ‘one size fits all’ approach. Tennis Tips UK have been fine tuning the selection process since way back in 2013. For a comprehensive insight into our thesis try exploring our tennis betting research articles.
I’m looking for a more hands-on approach, what do you recommend?Some punters prefer to actively select or trade their own markets. The same thesis as before regarding compounding can still apply in this situation but crucially you’ll need to be able to find and back value bets yourself. There are advanced tools that let you identify +EV bets, see where sharp money is betting and apply complex filters to find markets that meet your criteria.
What about responsible gambling?All forms of sports betting, including club picks, need to follow strict responsible gambling principles. The crucial one – never bet with funds that you can’t afford to lose. This means the assigned bankroll needs to be surplus to requirements. Adopting a long term, investment style approach as described previously will put you on the right path but this never replaces the ten golden rules of responsible gambling.
Why join the club?It offers an investment approach to sports betting that allows disciplined members the ability to gradually grow their bankroll over time. Another key benefit of staking a fixed percentage of bankroll per match is that it scales and crucially compounds returns. Here is an explanation of the concept. This means over time your bankroll can grow exponentially and has resulted in multiple long term club members building pots in excess of £1M. Just remember at this level new challenges present themselves such as trying to get such large stakes accepted or matched but there are solutions out there and of course there is also the option to quit and retire.
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